nfl-stat-leader-odds

Jeff Moreland/Icon Sportswire

Author: Anthony Vlahovic

Last Updated: 29 August, 2025

2025-26 NFL Stat Leader Odds | Passing, Rushing & Receiving

Out of all the statistical categories to lead the NFL, receiving yards may be the toughest. With so much depth at the position each year, this has been one of the most contested races in terms of statistical categories.

Despite there being a lot of high-end talent at the position, Ja'Marr Chase ended up taking home the triple crown in 2024. Chase has since opened at the top of the odds board for 2025, and now that the odds are released, we’ll keep NFL bettors consistently up-to-date on the odds board for the receiving yards title with prices from all the available sportsbooks in Ohio, as well as all other US states where sports betting is legal.

2025 NFL Receiving Yards Leader Odds

Player

DraftKings

Caesars

FanDuel

Bet365

Ja'Marr Chase

+600

+550

+600

+600

Nico Collins

+750

+700

+1000

+850

Justin Jefferson

+800

+800

+850

+800

CeeDee Lamb

+1000

+1100

+900

+1100

Malik Nabers

+1100

+1300

+1000

+1000

Puka Nacua

+1100

+750

+1200

+1100

Brian Thomas Jr.

+1300

+1400

+1400

+1200

Tyreek Hill

+1500

+1800

+2000

+1800

Drake London

+1500

+1200

+1200

+1500

Amon-Ra St. Brown

+2200

+2400

+2500

+2200

A.J. Brown

+2500

+2800

+2000

+2200

*Odds as of August 29, 2025

Current Favorites

Ja'Marr Chase (CIN Bengals): A full season of a healthy Joe Burrow means that Ja'Marr Chase is going to have his number called a lot. With Burrow playing all 17 games last season, Chase not only led the league in yards, but he also led the league in targets (175) and receptions (127). As long as his longtime quarterback can remain healthy, there is no reason why Chase can't once again be at the top of the leaderboard for most receiving stats.

Nico Collins (HOU Texans): Injuries plagued the Texans' season in 2024, but before that, Nico Collins looked as if he was going to be inside the top three in receiving yards, if not higher. In just 12 games, Collins was still 22nd in the league in yards with 1,006 on just 68 receptions. While Houston bolstered their receiving corps through the draft, Collins should remain CJ Stroud's top target, so health is the only thing standing in the way of a spot at the top of the leaderboard.

Justin Jefferson (MIN Vikings): The Vikings took everyone by surprise last season with Sam Darnold under center. With Darnold slinging it, Jefferson finished second in the league with 1,533 yards on 103 receptions. While Darnold will no longer be under center in Minnesota, there are high expectations for JJ McCarthy, who could lean on Jefferson even more in his first season as a starter.

Past Receiving Leaders

Season

Player

Yards

Team

Opening Odds

2024

Ja'Marr Chase

1,708

Cincinnati Bengals

+900

2023

Tyreek Hill

1,799

Miami Dolphins

+950

2022

Justin Jefferson

1,809

Minnesota Vikings

+800

2021

Cooper Kupp

1,947

Los Angeles Rams

+3500

2020

Stefon Diggs

1,535

Buffalo Bills

+5000

2019

Michael Thomas

1,725

New Orleans Saints

+1000

2018

Julio Jones

1,677

Atlanta Falcons

+400

2017

Antonio Brown

1,533

Pittsburgh Steelers

+375

2016

T.Y. Hilton

1,448

Indianapolis Colts

+2600

2015

Julio Jones

1,871

Atlanta Falcons

+600


2025 NFL Passing Yards Leader Odds

Over the years, we have watched the NFL become a pass-heavy league, and that remained the case in 2024. While multiple players had career years, Joe Burrow led the league in passing for the first time in his promising career.

The odds board will move a lot throughout the season, and now that the 2025 odds are released, NFL bettors can check back to this article for consistently updated odds for the passing yard race to find the best price across top sportsbooks like Bet365 Sportsbook.

Player

DraftKings

Caesars

FanDuel

Bet365

Joe Burrow

+450

+500

+490

+350

Dak Prescott

+800

+900

+750

+700

Patrick Mahomes

+900

+900

+850

+800

Jared Goff

+1200

+1200

+1100

+1200

Baker Mayfield

+1200

+900

+1500

+1200

Brock Purdy

+1400

+1000

+1300

+900

C.J. Stroud

+1500

+1600

+1300

+1500

Josh Allen

+1500

+1600

+1400

+1500

Matthew Stafford

+1600

+1400

+1800

+1600

Jordan Love

+2000

+2000

+2000

+2000

*Odds as of August 29, 2025

Current Favorites

Joe Burrow (CIN Bengals): The Bengals are not afraid to keep the ball in Joe Burrow's hands, no matter how shaky their offensive line might be. Burrow was the only quarterback to record over 600 attempts last season, and in turn, he finished with 4.918 yards. With his receiving corps being as strong as it is, Burrow will likely continue to sling the ball around the yard as he looks to bring the Bengals back to the Super Bowl.

Dak Prescott (DAL Cowboys): An injury derailed Dak Prescott's season, but with plenty of time to get back to strength, Prescott is likely also to see his passing volume remain sky high. Dallas does not have a strong run game, and in 2023, Prescott finished third in the league in passing yards while also completing the most passes in the league (410). With Dallas hiring in-house for their head coach, Prescott's usage should not decline at all, especially with CeeDee Lamb still leading the charge in the receiving room.

Patrick Mahomes (KC Chiefs): For as decorated as his career has been, Patrick Mahomes has only led the league in passing once. In fact, last season, despite reaching the Super Bowl, Mahomes posted arguably his worst statistical season, finishing 7th in passing yards. Mahomes' offensive line and receiving corps have declined over the years, but Kansas City should have an improved receiving unit this season, which should allow Mahomes to climb back up the leaderboard.

Past Passing Leaders & Odds

Season

Player

Yards

Team

Opening Odds

2024

Joe Burrow

4,918

Cincinnati Bengals

+850

2023

Tua Tagovailoa

4,624

Miami Dolphins

+2000

2022

Patrick Mahomes

5,250

Kansas City Chiefs

+800

2021

Tom Brady

5,316

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

+900

2020

Deshaun Watson

4,823

Houston Texans

+2000

2019

Jameis Winston

5,109

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

+950

2018

Ben Roethlisberger

5,129

Pittsburgh Steelers

+1000

2017

Tom Brady

4,577

New England Patriots

+600

2016

Drew Brees

5,208

New Orleans Saints

+525

2015

Drew Brees

4,870

New Orleans Saints

+650


2025 NFL Rushing Yards Leader Odds

The running back position had seemingly lost its value for a few years in the NFL. However, in 2024, we saw a resurgence with Saquon Barkley knocking on the door of an NFL record in his first season with the Philadelphia Eagles.

Unsurprisingly, Saquon Barkley has opened as the favorite for the 2025 season, and now that the odds have been released, we'll break down the prices across the top sportsbooks in North Carolina.

Player

DraftKings

Caesars

FanDuel

Bet365

Saquon Barkley

+275

+230

+420

+300

Derrick Henry

+400

+400

+550

+450

Bijan Robinson

+950

+1000

+850

+700

Jonathan Taylor

+1000

+750

+800

+800

Christian McCaffrey

+1100

+800

+1200

+1100

Jahmyr Gibbs

+1400

+1500

+1000

+900

Ashton Jeanty

+1800

+1800

+1700

+1600

Bucky Irving

+2000

+2500

+1700

+1800

Josh Jacobs

+2000

+2000

+1900

+2000

Kyren Williams

+2500

+2500

+2200

+2200

Chubba Hubbard

+3000

+2800

+2700

+3000

*Odds as of August 29, 2025

Current Favorites

Saquon Barkley (PHI Eagles): After years of suffering in New York, Saquon Barkley joined the Philadelphia Eagles and not only led them to a Super Bowl but also recorded over 2,000 rushing yards, which hadn't been done since Derrick Henry in 2020. Behind what many consider to be the best offensive line in the NFL, Philadelphia loves to pound the rock, and Barkley is the right man to lead that charge. As long as his health and volume remain the same as last season, Barkley will be tough to knock off the top of the leaderboard.

Derrick Henry (BAL Ravens): In his first season with the Ravens, Derrick Henry put on an absolute show, rushing for 1,921 yards on 325 attempts. Much like the Eagles, the Ravens rely heavily on their run game, and with an MVP quarterback in the backfield, opposing teams can't just stack the box against Henry. With a lot of motivation this season, the Ravens and Henry could be tough to stop.

Christian McCaffrey (SF 49ers): It was another injury-filled season for McCaffrey in 2024, and while his health remains a question, the system he's in makes him hard to ignore. McCaffrey led the league in rushing in 2023, and as long as he has Kyle Shanahan calling plays, he should continue to produce hefty stat lines.

Past Rushing Leaders & Odds

Season

Player

Yards

Team

Opening Odds

2024

Saquon Barkley

2,005

Philadelphia Eagles

+700

2023

Christian McCaffrey

1,459

San Francisco 49ers

+3000

2022

Josh Jacobs

1,653

Las Vegas Raiders

+4000

2021

Jonathan Taylor

1,811

Indianapolis Colts

+900

2020

Derrick Henry

2,027

Tennessee Titans

+600

2019

Derrick Henry

1,540

Tennessee Titans

+1300

2018

Ezekiel Elliot

1,434

Dallas Cowboys

+285

2017

Kareem Hunt

1,327

Kansas City Chiefs

N/A

2016

Ezekiel Elliot

1,631

Dallas Cowboys

+850

2015

Adrian Peterson

1,485

Minnesota Vikings

+500

Why Volume Predictability Is the Bettor’s Edge in Yardage Markets

There are several ways to handicap the league leader markets in the NFL. Some bettors may look for specific stats, while others may target systems. As a further offshoot of targeting systems, it's essential to identify which players will receive the most volume due to their position. In turn, it’s vital to determine which of these markets is more volume-heavy than others. 

Volume plays a big role in being the league leader in passing, rushing, and receiving yards. In 2024, the pass attempt leader led the league in passing, the rushing attempt leader led the league in rushing, and the receptions leader led the league in receiving yards. However, it is not automatic that the leader in volume at each position will lead the league.

In terms of receiving, we have observed a shift in volume and its impact on the market. From 2004 to 2018, the league leader in receptions led the league in receiving just five times in that stretch. However, with a shift in offensive philosophy throughout the league, the league leader in receptions has led the league in receiving yards all but once since 2019. In that one year, when the receptions leader didn’t, the receptions leader finished just 50 yards behind the receiving yards leader.

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vlaho
Editor: Anthony Vlahovic

A former professional baseball player who has had his finger on the pulse of sports betting since 2016.

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