Marc Sanchez/Icon Sportswire
Author: Anthony Vlahovic
Last Updated: 14 October, 2025
2025-26 NFL MVP Odds
Over the past decade, the MVP award has been awarded almost exclusively to quarterbacks. That trend didn't stop for the 2024-25 season, either, as Josh Allen won the first MVP award of his career.
Unsurprisingly, the odds for the next MVP opened with Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, and Joe Burrow sitting at the top. After an exciting Week Six, a couple of standout players, such as Patrick Mahomes, Baker Mayfield, and Drake Maye, have moved up the board, but a lot can change from now until the next NFL Honors, and we'll keep NFL bettors up to date on all movements and changes to the odds board.
2025-26 NFL MVP - Best Odds Right Now
Player | Opening Odds | Current Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
Patrick Mahomes | +750 | +200 (FanDuel*) |
Josh Allen | +550 | +300 (DraftKings*) |
Baker Mayfield | +3500 | +350 (DraftKings*) |
Matthew Stafford | +5000 | +1600 (BetMGM*) |
Jared Goff | +2800 | +1600 (FanDuel*) |
Drake Maye | +6600 | +1800 (BetMGM*) |
Jordan Love | +2200 | +1800 (BetRivers*) |
Justin Herbert | +2000 | +2500 (FanDuel) |
Daniel Jones | N/A | +4500 (DraftKings) |
Lamar Jackson | +500 | +5000 (FanDuel) |
Jayden Daniels | +1000 | +5000 (FanDuel) |
Dak Prescott | +3500 | +5000 (FanDuel) |
Sam Darnold | +6600 | +5000 (BetRivers*) |
Jalen Hurts | +2500 | +10,000 (FanDuel) |
Trevor Lawrence | +3500 | +10,000 (BetRivers*) |
Caleb Williams | +3500 | +10,000 (BetMGM*) |
Bo Nix | +6600 | +12,500 (BetMGM) |
CJ Stroud | +2200 | +15,000 (DraftKings) |
Aaron Rodgers | +12,500 | +17,500 (FanDuel) |
Odds as of October 14, 2025
* = the same odds are offered by multiple sportsbooks.
2025-26 NFL MVP Odds Comparison - Top 10 Contenders
Player | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Mahomes | +185 | +200 | +200 | +200 |
Josh Allen | +300 | +300 | +300 | +275 |
Baker Mayfield | +350 | +350 | +325 | +350 |
Matthew Stafford | +1600 | +1600 | +1400 | +1600 |
Jared Goff | +1600 | +1600 | +1400 | +1500 |
Drake Maye | +1800 | +1000 | +1700 | +1800 |
Jordan Love | +1800 | +1800 | +1800 | +1800 |
Justin Herbert | +1800 | +2500 | +1800 | +2000 |
Jayden Daniels | +2800 | +5000 | +3500 | +4000 |
Lamar Jackson | +3000 | +5000 | +4000 | +3500 |
*Odds as of October 14, 2025.
Current Favorites
Patrick Mahomes (+185 to +200): The Chiefs may be sitting at .500 with a win on Sunday Night Football, but their record is not an indication of how they've played, especially on offense, over the past three weeks. With 257 yards and three touchdowns against Detroit, the two-time MVP is 6th in the league with 1,514 yards and 5th with 11 touchdowns on a 99 passer rating.
Josh Allen (+275 to +300): Josh Allen is still searching for his first Super Bowl appearance, but he is no longer searching for the MVP award. Allen may not have posted 4,000 passing yards or a new career high in touchdowns, but he did throw a career low in interceptions while still averaging 7.7 yards per completion. Allen was called upon to use his arm quite a bit in a jaw-dropping comeback in Week One against Baltimore, and it resulted in him throwing for 394 yards and two touchdowns. Now, while the Bills find themselves on a two-game losing streak after a bad loss to Atlanta, Allen still has 1,397 passing yards, 11 passing touchdowns, and three rushing touchdowns.
Baker Mayfield (+325 to +350): A few years ago, Baker Mayfield looked as if he would be lucky to secure a backup job. Now the former number one pick has the Buccaneers cruising despite dealing with a wide range of injuries. Mayfield put on a show in Seattle with 379 passing yards and two touchdowns, which led to him receiving MVP chants in Week Six while he was leading the Bucs to another win over the 49ers. With two more touchdown passes against San Francisco, Mayfield has 1,539 yards, 12 passing touchdowns, and just one interception.
NFL MVP Past Winners
Season - Player (Position) | Team | Opening odds | Week 9 odds |
|---|---|---|---|
2024 - Josh Allen (QB) | Buffalo Bills | +800 | +300 |
2023 - Lamar Jackson (QB) | Baltimore Ravens | +1600 | +600 |
2022 - Patrick Mahomes (QB) | Kansas City Chiefs | +700 | +450 |
2021 - Aaron Rodgers (QB) | Green Bay Packers | +800 | +900 |
2020 - Aaron Rodgers (QB) | Green Bay Packers | +3,000 | N/A |
2019 - Lamar Jackson (QB) | Baltimore Ravens | +4000 | N/A |
2018 - Patrick Mahomes (QB) | Kansas City Chiefs | +3525 | N/A |
2017 -Tom Brady (QB) | New England Patriots | +385 | N/A |
2016 - Matt Ryan (QB) | Atlanta Falcons | +7500 | N/A |
2015 - Cam Newton (QB) | Carolina Panthers | +5200 | N/A |
2014 - Aaron Rodgers (QB) | Green Bay Packers | +600 | N/A |
2024 NFL Most Valuable Player Award Voting
Rank - Player | Total points | 1st place votes |
|---|---|---|
1. Josh Allen (QB, Bills) | 383 | 27 |
2. Lamar Jackson (QB, Ravens) | 362 | 23 |
3. Saquon Barkley (RB, Eagles) | 120 | 0 |
4. Joe Burrow (QB, Bengals) | 82 | 0 |
5. Jared Goff (QB, Lions) | 47 | 0 |
6. Patrick Mahomes (QB, Chiefs) | 31 | 0 |
7. Jayden Daniels (QB, Commanders) | 8 | 0 |
8. Justin Herbert (QB, Chargers) | 6 | 0 |
9. Ja'Marr Chase (WR, Bengals) | 6 | 0 |
10. Sam Darnold (QB, Vikings) | 3 | 0 |
11. Baker Mayfield (QB, Buccaneers) | 2 | 0 |
NFL MVP Award History, Trends, and Pointers
The last time a player who did not play quarterback won the MVP award was in 2012, when Adrian Peterson won it after rushing for over 2,000 yards.
Only two defensive players have won the award since 1957, with Lawrence Taylor being the most recent in 1986.
Winning multiple MVPs is more than possible, as Aaron Rodgers, Patrick Mahomes, and Lamar Jackson have all won at least two in the past ten years.
A quarterback does not just have to lead the league in touchdowns to win the award, as Joe Burrow had more passing TDs and yards than Josh Allen in 2024.
The Primetime Spotlight Effect: Why night game stats quietly drive MVP narrative
NFL MVP voters can be persuaded or skewed just like the general public. These voters may have their eyes on every game played during the week. Still, just like the casual fan, it can be easy to forget or look past a stellar performance during the 1:00 Sunday window after a star puts on a show during a primetime game.
Even with the creation of Red Zone, football fanatics cannot see every play of every game on Sunday, but during the primetime slots, they see every scramble, rush, and broken tackle. Contenders for the award need to produce every week, but MVP narratives can be formed in primetime when all eyes are on them.
With extensive coverage for each primetime game, a noteworthy performance from an MVP contender on Sunday Night Football can cause a significant change in the betting odds. For example, Lamar Jackson could go out on Sunday afternoon and throw for two touchdowns and rush for one. However, Josh Allen could take center stage on Sunday night against a notable opponent, and if he thrives, his MVP odds could surge from (+450) to (+300).
The primetime effect needs to be considered when wagering on this award. If a bettor believes Joe Burrow’s odds during week eight have value and he plays during Monday Night Football at the end of the weekend, then waiting to place that bet may cause a significant potential loss.
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