2025-26 NFL MVP Odds

Over the past decade, the MVP award has almost exclusively gone to quarterbacks. That trend didn't stop for the 2024-25 season, either, as Josh Allen won the first MVP award of his career.

With the 2024-25 award cycle complete, fans who can't live without football can already start placing futures on the 2025-26 season. Unsurprisingly, the odds for the next MVP have opened with Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, and Joe Burrow sitting at the top. With all that can change from now until the next NFL Honors, we'll keep NFL bettors up to date on all movements and changes to the odds board.

2025-26 NFL MVP - Best Odds

Odds as of May 8, 2025

* = the same odds are offered by multiple sportsbooks.

2025-26 NFL MVP Odds - Top 10 Contenders

*Odds as of May 8, 2025.

NFL MVP Past Winners

The Primetime Spotlight Effect: Why night game stats quietly drive MVP narrative

NFL MVP voters can be persuaded or skewed just like the general public. These voters may have their eyes on every game played during the week. Still, just like the casual fan, it can be easy to forget or look past a stellar performance during the 1:00 Sunday window after a star puts on a show during a primetime game.

Even with the creation of Red Zone, football fanatics cannot see every play of every game on Sunday, but during the primetime slots, they see every scramble, rush, and broken tackle. Contenders for the award need to produce every week, but MVP narratives can be formed in primetime when all eyes are on them.

With extensive coverage for each primetime game, a noteworthy performance from an MVP contender on Sunday Night Football can cause a significant change in the betting odds. For example, Lamar Jackson could go out on Sunday afternoon and throw for two touchdowns and rush for one. However, Josh Allen could take center stage on Sunday night against a notable opponent, and if he thrives, then a surge of action could cause his MVP odds to go from (+450) to (+300).

The primetime effect needs to be considered when wagering on this award. If a bettor believes Joe Burrow’s odds during week eight have value and he plays during Monday Night Football at the end of the weekend, then waiting to place that bet may cause a significant potential loss.

NFL MVP Award History, Trends, and Pointers

• The last time a player who did not play quarterback won the MVP award was in 2012, when Adrian Peterson won it after rushing for over 2,000 yards.

• Only two defensive players have won the award since 1957, with Lawrence Taylor being the most recent in 1986.

• Winning multiple MVPs is more than possible, as Aaron Rodgers, Patrick Mahomes, and Lamar Jackson have all won at least two in the past ten years.

• A quarterback does not just have to lead the league in touchdowns to win the award, as Joe Burrow had more passing TDs and yards than Josh Allen in 2024.

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