NFL CPOY Favorite

Joshua Sarner/Icon Sportswire

Author: Anthony Vlahovic

Last Updated: 30 December, 2024

2024-25 NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Odds

Of all the trophies and awards regarding the NFL, the Comeback Player Of The Year title is certainly something no player targets winning, as typically, the award recognizes players who have displayed resilience in making a triumphant return to top form from major injuries or excelling after a challenging season.

Buffalo Bills safety Damar Hamlin was the betting favorite for almost all of 2023 until Joe Flacco swooped in and secured the award after leading the Browns to the playoffs. This year, Joe Burrow has moved to the top of the odds board, making him the third QB to become the CPOY favorite this season.

With one week remaining in the regular season, without further ado, here are the 2024-25 Comeback Player of the Year odds from the top sports betting apps in the US, and around the world.

NFL Comeback Player of the Year 2024-25 Betting Odds

Player

Opening Odds

Bet365

Fanduel

BetMGM

Joe Burrow

+225

-420

-500

Sam Darnold

+6000

+270

+250

J.K. Dobbins

+6000

+750

+750

Damar Hamlin

N/A

+10,000

+10,000

Tim Patrick

+15,000

+20,000

+20,000

Cameron Heyward

N/A

+20,000

+20,000

*Odds as of December 30, 2024

A favorite for the Comeback Player of the Year 2024: Joe Burrow

If it weren't for the Bengals' inability to find the win column consistently this season, Joe Burrow would likely be the favorite for MVP and Comeback Player of the Year. Even with the Bengals .500 record, Burrow is leading the league in passing yards with 4,641 and in passing touchdowns with 42.

Burrow is already on pace to fly past the numbers he had when he won Comeback Player of the Year in 2021 and when he led the Bengals to the Super Bowl in 2022. Health has always been a concern for Burrow, but even after his wrist surgery and dealing with another weak offensive line, he has played every game this season.

Despite an 8-8 record, the Bengals still have a slim chance of reaching the playoffs (17%) after beating the Broncos in week 17. After that overtime win, Burrow has thrown for three or more touchdown passes in eight consecutive games, and if it weren't for missed field goals, he would have led his team to victory in two of those games.

Cincinnati will need some help in order to sneak into the playoffs in the final week of the season, but at the very least, Burrow can solidify his MVP-esque season with another big performance over the Steelers.

Top Contenders:

Sam Darnold (Minnesota Vikings): Whether or not Sam Darnold can still win Comeback Player of the Year is still yet to be determined. With changes to the verbiage around who can win this award, Darnold technically would not qualify since he is not returning from injury. However, after starting the season in the top three on the odds board and then being removed entirely, Darnold is back in the top three after leading the Vikings to another win in week 17. With that win, Darnold has the Vikings sitting at 14-2 and has now thrown for 4,153 yards and 35 touchdowns.

J.K. Dobbins (RB, Los Angeles Chargers): Dobbins started the season on a high note coming off his ACL injury. With a new team, Dobbins led the Chargers' running attack, as he racked up 842 yards and nine touchdowns. Unfortunately for Dobbins and the Chargers faithful, he was placed on IR with a knee injury and missed a month. In his return to action, Dobbins did turn in a solid stat line though, rushing for 76 yards and a touchdown against New England.

Damar Hamlin (DB, Buffalo Bills): Much like Darnold, whether or not Hamlin is eligible for this award seems to still be up for debate, but regardless, he has still put together an impressive season. The Bills' safety is up to 83 tackles on the year to go along with five pass defenses and two interceptions.

NFL Comeback Player of the Year Past Winners

After the award came back in 1998, quarterback Chad Pennington is the only player in NFL history to win the Comeback Player of the Year title more than once, having claimed it in 2006 with the New York Jets and 2008 with the Miami Dolphins.

Season

Player

Position

Team

2023

Joe Flacco

Quarterback

Cleveland Browns

2022

Geno Smith

Quarterback

Seattle Seahawks

2021

Joe Burrow

Quarterback

Cincinnati Bengals

2020

Alex Smith

Quarterback

Washington Commanders

2019

Ryan Tannehill

Quarterback

Tennessee Titans

2018

Andrew Luck

Quarterback

Indianapolis Colts

2017

Keenan Allen

Wide receiver

Los Angeles Chargers

2016

Jordy Nelson

Wide receiver

Green Bay Packers

2015

Eric Berry

Safety

Kansas City Chiefs

2014

Rob Gronkowski

Tight end

New England Patriots

2013

Philip Rivers

Quarterback

San Diego Chargers

2012

Peyton Manning

Quarterback

Denver Broncos

2011

Matthew Stafford

Quarterback

Detroit Lions

2010

Michael Vick

Quarterback

Philadelphia Eagles

2009

Tom Brady

Quarterback

New England Patriots

2008

Chad Pennington

Quarterback

Miami Dolphins

2007

Greg Ellis

Defensive end

Dallas Cowboys

2006

Chad Pennington

Quarterback

New York Jets

2005

Steve Smith Tedy Bruschi

Wide receiver Linebacker

Carolina Panthers New England Patriots

2004

Drew Brees

Quarterback

San Diego Chargers

2003

Jon Kitna

Quarterback

Cincinnati Bengals

2002

Tommy Maddox

Quarterback

Pittsburgh Steelers

2001

Garrison Hearst

Running back

San Francisco 49ers

2000

Joe Johnson

Defensive end

New Orleans Saints

1999

Bryant Young

Defensive tackle

San Francisco 49ers

1998

Doug Flutie

Quarterback

Buffalo Bills

NFL CPOY Award History, Trends, and Pointers

  • Regarding player positions, quarterbacks have been favored in the Comeback Player of the Year title hunt. Ever since the award came back in 1998, a quarterback has won the title 16 times from the 25 total.

  • The last six award winners have all been quarterbacks.

  • Only five defensive players have won the NFL CPOY since 1998, the last one being Kansas City safety Eric Berry in 2015.

  • The CPOY award has been shared only once in NFL history, as Tedy Bruschi and Steve Smith Sr. both won the title in 2005.

  • Most commonly, the CPOY award is given to a player who missed multiple games due to some type of injury during the previous season. Eight of the last nine winners missed at least five games from their previous season before being named Comeback Player of the Year.

  • Geno Smith, the 2022 winner, is one of only two players since 2013 to achieve this without suffering an injury in the preceding year.

  • While there are usually clear frontrunners for this award each year, even the "long shot" options can prevail. During the 2022-23 season, the CPOY winner Geno Smith's longest odds for Comeback Player of the Year were a whoppin' +6000.

Related articles & NFL betting resources

🔥 Hottest sportsbooks:

DraftKings
BONUS: 
$200
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T&Cs apply. 21+ (18+ DC, KY, NH, WY). Online sportsbook available in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, ME, MI, NH, NJ, NY, NC, OH, OR, PA, TN, VT, VA, WV, WY & Ontario, Canada. Promo details may vary by state. Please gamble responsibly.

Fanduel
BONUS: 
$150
PROMO CODE: 
-

T&Cs Apply. 21+ (18+ in DC). Online sportsbook available in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, MD, MA, MI, NJ, NY, NC, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY, and in Ontario, Canada. Please gamble responsibly.

BetMGM
BONUS: 
$1,500
PROMO CODE: 
BETMGMBONUS

21+ only. T&C Apply. Sportsbook app available in AZ, CO, DC, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, MD, MA, MI, MS, NV, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, & WY. Promo details may vary by state. Please gamble responsibly.

vlaho
Editor: Anthony Vlahovic

A former professional baseball player who has had his finger on the pulse of sports betting since 2016.

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