nfl-draft-first-pick-odds

Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire

Author: Anthony Vlahovic

Last Updated: 01 July, 2025

2026 NFL Draft Betting Odds

The 2025 NFL Draft generated considerable excitement among football fans and bettors, as Cam Ward was selected first overall, while Shedeur Sanders fell all the way to the fifth round. While the 2025 draft class gears up for their rookie seasons, bettors can already start looking ahead to the 2026 draft class by placing futures on next season's #1 overall pick.

A lot can happen between now and draft day, but we’ve got you covered with consistently up-to-date betting odds for the 2026 NFL Draft, with prices across all the elite sports betting apps available in the US.

2026 NFL Draft No. 1 Overall Pick (Best Odds)

Player

Opening odds

Current best odds

Arch Manning

+200

+225 (ESPN Bet)

Drew Allar

+225

+500 (BetRivers)

Garrett Nussmeier

+450

+450 (Bet365)

Cade Klubnik

+1800

+1000 (ESPN Bet*)

LaNorris Sellers

+3000

+850 (ESPN Bet)

Caleb Downs

+2500

+5500 (BetRivers)

Keldric Faulk

+2500

+3000 (BetRivers*)

T.J. Parker

+2500

+3000 (Bet365)

Sam Leavitt

N/A

+3000 (BetRivers)

Kadyn Proctor

N/A

+5000 (Bet365)

Fernando Mendoza

N/A

+5000 (ESPN Bet)

John Mateer

+5000

+6600 (BetRivers)

Dante Moore

+3500

+7500 (ESPN Bet)

Jayden Maiava

+3500

+7500 (ESPN Bet)

Harold Perkins Jr.

+4000

+10,000 (ESPN Bet)

Odds as of July 1, 2025

* = The same odds are offered by multiple sportsbooks.

2026 NFL Draft First Pick Odds Comparison - TOP10 Favorites

Player

Bet365

ESPN Bet

BetRivers

Arch Manning

+200

+225

+220

Drew Allar

+400

+350

+500

Garrett Nussmeier

+450

+400

+350

LaNorris Sellers

+600

+850

+800

Cade Klubnik

+1000

+1000

+1000

Fernando Mendoza

+1600

+5000

OTB

Caleb Downs

+3000

+3500

+5500

Keldric Faulk

+3000

+2200

+3000

T.J. Parker

+3000

+2200

+2000

Kadyn Proctor

+5000

+4000

+3500

Odds as of July 1, 2025

Current Favorites

Arch Manning (University of Texas): The time has finally come for Arch Manning to take over as the starting quarterback of the Texas Longhorns. Manning has waited for two years behind Quinn Ewers, and while he's made a few spot starts, the 2025-26 season will be his chance to prove why he can be the next great Manning in the NFL. Fans got a glimpse of Manning's passing and rushing potential last season, as he completed 67.8% of his passes on 90 attempts to go along with a 9:2 TD-to-INT ratio and four rushing touchdowns.

Drew Allar (Penn State): One of the big talking points of the 2024-25 CFP was how multiple NFL teams were hoping to have Drew Allar enter the 2025 Draft instead of returning to school. However, after struggling against Notre Dame, many believe that Allar made the right decision. In his third year at PSU, Allar threw for 3,327 yards, 24 touchdowns, and eight interceptions. The Penn State signal caller has a real chance to boost his stock this season, especially if he can lead Penn State on another deep postseason run.

Garrett Nussmeier (LSU): It seems as if LSU has another surefire NFL draft prospect under center, entering the 2025-25 season. After sitting behind Jayden Daniels, Nussmeier took over as the starter last season and threw for 4,052 yards, 29 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions. With pure arm talent very apparent, many analysts expect the Tigers' signal-caller to take another step forward this season as long as he can remain healthy.

Past 1st Overall Picks In The NFL Draft & Odds

Season

Player

Team

Opening odds

2025

Cam Ward

Tennessee Titans

-700

2024

Caleb Williams

Chicago Bears

-1250

2023

Bryce Young

Carolina Panthers

-125

2022

Travon Walker

Jacksonville Jaguars

+3000

2021

Trevor Lawrence

Jacksonville Jaguars

-300

2020

Joe Burrow

Cincinnati Bengals

+300

2019

Kyler Murray

Arizona Cardinals

+160

2018

Baker Mayfield

Cleveland Browns

+1000

2017

Myles Garrett

Cleveland Browns

N/A

2016

Jared Goff

Los Angeles Rams

N/A

2015

Jameis Winston

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

N/A

Drafting for Scheme Fit vs. Best Player Available: What to know before betting

Just like players and coaches on the field, NFL front offices also have tendencies. For bettors, understanding these tendencies, or the teams' philosophy, can help make draft season a profitable time. There is a lot of smoke and mirrors leading up to each draft, so having an understanding of whether a team likes to draft based on scheme fit or just take the best player available is a very important piece of information to know.

When a team feels as if their championship window may be closing within the next few years, they may show a tendency to draft based on scheme so that they can plug and play their first-round pick. On the other hand, there could be teams who prefer to let the first round of the draft play out and adjust from there, such as the Philadelphia Eagles. 

Understanding how teams make decisions is crucial in identifying value across multiple markets, such as determining the position a team will draft in the first round or identifying the first-round landing spots for different players. A team that has been having success over the past few seasons may have more freedom and willingness to reach on a player they may need, for example, the Chiefs went into the 2025 Draft needing offensive line help and that is exactly what they addressed in the first round despite their being better players on the board from different positions.

Related articles & NFL betting resources

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vlaho
Editor: Anthony Vlahovic

A former professional baseball player who has had his finger on the pulse of sports betting since 2016.

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