Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire
Author: Anthony Vlahovic
Last Updated: 02 October, 2025
2026 NFL Draft Betting Odds
The 2025 NFL Draft generated considerable excitement among football fans and bettors, as Cam Ward was selected first overall, while Shedeur Sanders fell all the way to the fifth round. While the 2025 draft class gears up for their rookie seasons, bettors can already start looking ahead to the 2026 draft class by placing futures on next season's #1 overall pick.
A lot can happen between now and draft day, but we’ve got you covered with consistently up-to-date betting odds for the 2026 NFL Draft, with prices across all the elite sports betting apps available in the US.
2026 NFL Draft No. 1 Overall Pick (Best Odds)
Player | Opening odds | Current best odds |
|---|---|---|
Fernando Mendoza | N/A | +325 (ESPN Bet) |
LaNorris Sellers | +3000 | +450 (ESPN Bet*) |
Dante Moore | +3500 | +500 (Bet365*) |
Garrett Nussmeier | +450 | +1000 (FanDuel) |
John Mateer | +5000 | +1300 (FanDuel) |
Reuban Bain Jr. | N/A | +1500 (FanDuel) |
Arch Manning | +200 | +2500 (FanDuel) |
Carson Beck | N/A | +2700 (FanDuel) |
Jayden Maiava | +3500 | +2700 (FanDuel) |
Sam Leavitt | N/A | +3000 (ESPN Bet) |
Drew Allar | +225 | +4000 (FanDuel) |
T.J. Parker | +2500 | +4000 (FanDuel) |
Peter Woods | N/A | +4000 (FanDuel) |
Kadyn Proctor | N/A | +7500 (FanDuel) |
Keldric Faulk | +2500 | +7500 (FanDuel) |
Odds as of October 2, 2025
* = The same odds are offered by multiple sportsbooks.
2026 NFL Draft First Pick Odds Comparison - TOP10 Favorites
Player | |||
|---|---|---|---|
Fernando Mendoza | +300 | +325 | +300 |
LaNorris Sellers | +450 | +450 | +430 |
Dante Moore | +500 | +500 | +500 |
Garrett Nussmeier | +850 | +750 | +1000 |
John Mateer | +1200 | +1100 | +1300 |
Rueben Bain Jr. | +1400 | +1400 | +1500 |
Arch Manning | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 |
Ty Simpson | +2500 | OTB | +2500 |
Cason Beck | +2500 | +2200 | +2700 |
Jayden Maiava | +2500 | +2500 | +2700 |
Odds as of October 2, 2025
Current Favorites
Fernando Mendoza (Indiana): The last two #1 overall picks were transfer quarterbacks, and Mendoza has a chance to make that three. After showing flashes of immense potential at Cal, Mendoza has taken it to another level at Indiana. Through five games, the Hooisers quarterback has thrown for 1,208 yards, 16 touchdowns, and just one interception.
LaNorris Sellers (South Carolina): Out of the top quarterbacks in this draft class, Sellers had the least notoriety out of high school. The talented dual-threat QB took over as the starter last season at South Carolina, and he finished the year with 18 passing touchdowns and seven rushing touchdowns. Sure, those numbers may not have led the country, but Sellers showed elite traits that are rare to find, which have made him a prized target for many NFL franchises. To start the 2025 season, Sellers has not exactly racked up the stats with 886 passing yards and four touchdowns, but he's continued to prove he has arguably the highest ceiling among any QB in this draft.
Dante Moore (Oregon): Dante Moore walked away from a starting job at UCLA to sit behind Dillon Gabriel last season at Oregon. Well, that move has proven to be a smart one as Moore is flying up the odds board to be selected first overall. Moore's most significant move in this market came after he led the Ducks to a road win over Penn State. With three touchdowns in that game, he has now thrown for 1,210 yards and a 14:1 TD-to-INT ratio.
Past 1st Overall Picks In The NFL Draft & Odds
Season | Player | Team | Opening odds |
|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Cam Ward | Tennessee Titans | -700 |
2024 | Caleb Williams | Chicago Bears | -1250 |
2023 | Bryce Young | Carolina Panthers | -125 |
2022 | Travon Walker | Jacksonville Jaguars | +3000 |
2021 | Trevor Lawrence | Jacksonville Jaguars | -300 |
2020 | Joe Burrow | Cincinnati Bengals | +300 |
2019 | Kyler Murray | Arizona Cardinals | +160 |
2018 | Baker Mayfield | Cleveland Browns | +1000 |
2017 | Myles Garrett | Cleveland Browns | N/A |
2016 | Jared Goff | Los Angeles Rams | N/A |
2015 | Jameis Winston | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | N/A |
Drafting for Scheme Fit vs. Best Player Available: What to know before betting
Just like players and coaches on the field, NFL front offices also have tendencies. For bettors, understanding these tendencies, or the teams' philosophy, can help make draft season a profitable time. There is a lot of smoke and mirrors leading up to each draft, so having an understanding of whether a team likes to draft based on scheme fit or just take the best player available is a very important piece of information to know.
When a team feels as if their championship window may be closing within the next few years, they may show a tendency to draft based on scheme so that they can plug and play their first-round pick. On the other hand, there could be teams that prefer to let the first round of the draft play out and adjust from there, such as the Philadelphia Eagles.
Understanding how teams make decisions is crucial in identifying value across multiple markets, such as determining the position a team will draft in the first round or identifying the first-round landing spots for different players. A team that has been having success over the past few seasons may have more freedom and willingness to reach on a player they may need, for example, the Chiefs went into the 2025 Draft needing offensive line help, and that is exactly what they addressed in the first round despite there being better players on the board from different positions.
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