mlb-stat-leaders-odds

Melissa Tamez/Icon Sportswire

Author: Anthony Vlahovic

Last Updated: 15 July, 2025

2025 MLB Stat Leader Odds | Home Runs & Strikeouts

Home runs are a big part of what drives people to baseball, and there are certainly quite a few guys in the MLB who know a lot about them.

Aaron Judge led the league in 2024 for the second time in three years, and he unsurprisingly opened as the favorite to lead the league again in 2025. However, for as good as Judge has been, there should be another entertaining home run race in 2025, with the number of power hitters across the league, such as Cal Raleigh. Down below, we’ll look at home run leader odds for the 2025 season across all the top sportsbooks in Maryland.

2025 MLB Home Run Leader - Current Best Odds

Player

Opening Odds

Current Best Odds

Aaron Judge

+400

-130 (BetMGM)

Shohei Ohtani

+700

+800 (Caesars*)

Cal Raleigh

+10,000

+140 (Bet365)

Kyle Schwarber

+1200

+2800 (Bet365*)

Eugenio Suarez

+15,000

+6000 (BetMGM*)

James Wood

+12,500

+12,500 (Bet365)

Pete Alonso

+1800

+10,000 (BetMGM*)

Matt Olson

+2000

+17,500 (Caesars)

Junior Caminero

+15,000

+17,500 (Caesars)

Seiya Suzuki

N/A

+20,000 (Bet365)

Pete Crow-Armstrong

N/A

+20,000 (Caesars)

Taylor Ward

N/A

+20,000 (Caesars)

Brent Rooker

+3000

+20,000 (BetMGM)

*Odds as of July 15, 2025

2025 MLB Home Run Leader - Top 5 Contenders

Player

Caesars

Bet365

BetMGM

Aaron Judge

-150

-135

-130

Cal Raleigh

+120

+140

+100

Shohei Ohtani

+800

+800

+600

Kyle Schwarber

+2800

+2800

+2200

Eugenio Suarez

+3300

+6000

+6000

Odds as of July 15, 2025

Current Favorites

Aaron Judge: A slow start to the season and a lull at the end caused Judge to miss out on breaking his own record, but his 58 long balls were still enough to lead the MLB in 2024. While the Yankees' lineup looks different this season with guys like Cody Bellinger hitting behind Judge instead of Juan Soto, the Yankees captain hasn't seemed to mind. In fact, Judge is currently hitting over .350 as the first half of the season closes, and when it comes to home runs, he is second with 35 on the year.

Cal Raleigh: Outside of Judge and Ohtani, the Mariners catcher has been one of the best hitters in baseball this season. In fact, Raleigh is having arguably the best first half of a season that a catcher has ever had. Not only does Raleigh lead the league in home runs with 38, but he is in the 98th percentile in barrel rate and 84th percentile in average exit velocity, according to BaseballSavant.

Shohei Ohtani: For a stretch of last season, it seemed as if Judge would easily win the home run title, but an otherworldly back half of the season from Ohtani made the race far closer. The NL MVP finished the regular season with 54 home runs, eight more than his previous career high. So far in 2025, Ohtani is third with 32 longballs, and certainly doesn't seem to be going anywhere in the home run race as he is in the 100th percentile in average exit velocity and hard-hit percentage, per BaseballSavant.

Past MLB Home Run Leaders

Season: Player

Home Runs

Team

Opening Odds

2024: Aaron Judge

58

New York Yankees

+375

2023: Matt Olson

54

Atlanta Braves

+2500

2022: Aaron Judge

62

New York Yankees

+1300

2021: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Salvador Perez

48

Toronto Blue Jays and Kansas City Royals

+5000 (Guerrero)

2020: Luke Voit

22

New York Yankees

N/A

2019: Pete Alonso

53

New York Mets

N/A

2018: Khris Davis

48

Oakland A's

+4000

2017: Giancarlo Stanton

59

Miami Marlins

+750

2016: Mark Trumbo

47

Baltimore Orioles

+5000

2015: Chris Davis

47

Baltimore Orioles

+1800

2014: Nelson Cruz

40

Baltimore Orioles

+3500


2025 MLB Strikeout Leader Odds

The caliber of stuff that MLB pitchers have has never been better, so in turn, guys can rack up strikeouts at an impressive pace. Between veterans like Chris Sale and Zack Wheeler or young phenoms like Paul Skenes and Tarik Skubal, the 2025 strikeout leader race has been a highly contested one. While Skenes opened as the favorite for this market, there are quite a few premier arms that have jumped over him on the odds board, and down below, we'll break down the best prices for all the flamethrowers across the league.

2025 MLB Strikeout Leader - Current Best Odds

Player

Opening odds

Current Best Odds

Garrett Crochet

+1000

-115 (Caesars)

Tarik Skubal

+900

+300 (Bet365)

Zack Wheeler

+2500

+200 (Caesars*)

Logan Webb

+10,000

+6000 (Bet365)

MacKenzie Gore

+8000

+8000 (Bet365)

Dylan Cease

+1600

+10,000 (Bet365)

Carlos Rodon

+6600

+10,000 (Bet365)

Paul Skenes

+600

+10,000 (Bet365)

Hunter Brown

+5000

+10,000 (Bet365)

Christopher Sanchez

+12,500

+12,500 (Caesars)

Framber Valdez

+10,000

+15,000 (Bet365)

Robbie Ray

+4000

+20,000 (Bet365)

Jesus Luzardo

+12,500

+20,000 (Caesars*)

*Odds as of July 15, 2025

2025 MLB Strikeout Leader - Top 5 Contenders

Player

Caesars

Bet365

Garrett Crochet

-115

-170

Tarik Skubal

+175

+300

Zack Wheeler

+200

+200

MacKenzie Gore

+2500

+8000

Logan Webb

+2500

+6000

*Odds as of July 15, 2025

Current Favorites

Garrett Crochet: Ever since he broke into the league, Garrett Crochet has been a strikeout artist. That has not changed at all since trading in his white socks for red ones, as he is first in the league with 160 punchouts through 129.1 innings. Since May 21st, Crochet has gone nine straight outings with at least seven strikeouts, and in that span, he has three double-digit strikeout performances.

Tarik Skubal: Not only did Skubal lead the league in strikeouts last season, but he also took home his first Cy Young award. Skubal was always touted as a guy with solid stuff, but he put it all together last season, ranking in the 91st percentile in strikeout rate and 90th percentile in whiff rate on BaseballSavant. Following a five-strikeout performance against the Mariners, the hard-throwing lefty is up to 153 punchouts in 121 innings.

Zack Wheeler: One of the most significant aspects of being an ace is consistency, and Wheeler is one of the most consistent arms in the league. With six strikeouts during his last outing, the Phillies' ace only has three starts out of his 19 in which he's recorded fewer than six strikeouts. With that, Wheeler is up to 154 strikeouts in 122 innings of work.

Season: Player

Strikeouts

Team

Opening Odds

2024: Tarik Skubal

228

Detroit Tigers

+3500

2023: Spencer Strider

281

Atlanta Braves

+900

2022: Gerrit Cole

257

New York Yankees

+475

2021: Robbie Ray

248

Toronto Blue Jays

+2500

2020: Shane Bieber

122

Cleveland Guardians

+1500

2019: Gerrit Cole

326

Houston Astros

+300

2018: Max Scherzer

300

Washington Nationals

+400

2017: Chris Sale

308

Boston Red Sox

+1000

2016: Max Scherzer

284

Washington Nationals

+550

2015: Clayton Kershaw

301

Los Angeles Dodgers

+500

2014: David Price

271

Detroit Tigers

+450

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Editor: Anthony Vlahovic

A former professional baseball player who has had his finger on the pulse of sports betting since 2016.

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