mlb-stat-leaders-odds

Melissa Tamez/Icon Sportswire

Author: Anthony Vlahovic

Last Updated: 30 May, 2025

2025 MLB Stat Leader Odds | Home Runs & Strikeouts

Home runs are a big part of what drives people to baseball, and there are certainly quite a few guys in the MLB who know a lot about them.

Aaron Judge led the league in 2024 for the second time in three years, and he unsurprisingly opened as the favorite to lead the league again in 2025. However, for as good as Judge has been, there should be another entertaining home run race in 2025, with the number of power hitters across the league. Down below, we’ll look at home run leader odds for the 2025 season across all the top sportsbooks in Maryland.

2025 MLB Home Run Leader - Current Best Odds

Player

Opening Odds

Current Best Odds

Aaron Judge

+400

+110 (Bet365)

Shohei Ohtani

+700

+165 (Bet365*)

Kyle Schwarber

+1200

+550 (BetMGM)

Cal Raleigh

+10,000

+1300 (Caesars)

Pete Crow-Armstrong

N/A

+2800 (Caesars)

Corbin Carroll

+15,000

+5000 (BetMGM)

Pete Alonso

+1800

+5000 (Caesars*)

Eugenio Suarez

+15,000

+6600 (BetMGM)

Fernando Tatis Jr.

+1500

+8000 (Bet365*)

Brent Rooker

+3000

+8000 (Caesars)

James Wood

+12,500

+8000 (Bet365*)

Kyle Tucker

+3000

+8000 (BetMGM*)

*Odds as of May 30, 2025

2025 MLB Home Run Leader - Top 5 Contenders

Player

Caesars

Bet365

BetMGM

Aaron Judge

+100

+110

+100

Shohei Ohtani

+110

+165

+165

Kyle Schwarber

+450

+350

+550

Cal Raleigh

+1300

+1200

+1200

Pete Crow-Armstrong

+2800

-

-

*Odds as of May 30, 2025

Current Favorites

Aaron Judge: A slow start to the season and a lull at the end caused Judge to miss out on breaking his own record, but his 58 long balls were still enough to lead the MLB in 2024. While the Yankees' lineup looks different this season with guys like Cody Bellinger hitting behind Judge instead of Juan Soto, the Yankees captain hasn't seemed to mind. In fact, Judge is currently hitting over .390 as the season enters June, and when it comes to home runs, he is third with 18 on the year.

Shohei Ohtani: For a stretch of last season, it seemed as if Judge would easily win the home run title, but an otherworldly back half of the season from Ohtani made the race far closer. The NL MVP finished the regular season with 54 home runs, eight more than his previous career high. While it's crazy to say that Ohtani seems like he could be getting even better as time goes on. So far in 2025, Ohtani has a league-leading 20 longballs, and certainly doesn't seem to be going anywhere in the home run race as he is in the 100th percentile in barrel rate and hard-hit percentage, per BaseballSavant.

Kyle Schwarber: Opposing pitchers need to be extra cautious when facing the Phillies' lineup, and Schwarber is a big reason for that. In 2024, Schwarber finished 8th in home runs with 38, which was the first time in his Phillies career that he didn't break the 45 home run marker. Early this season, it certainly looks like Schwarber could be joining the 40 home run club once again as he's second in the league lead with 19, and is in the 95th percentile in average exit velocity (BaseballSavant).

Past Leaders

Season

Player

Home Runs

Team

Opening Odds

2024

Aaron Judge

58

New York Yankees

+375

2023

Matt Olson

54

Atlanta Braves

+2500

2022

Aaron Judge

62

New York Yankees

+1300

2021

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Salvador Perez

48

Toronto Blue Jays and Kansas City Royals

+5000 (Guerrero)

2020

Luke Voit

22

New York Yankees

N/A

2019

Pete Alonso

53

New York Mets

N/A

2018

Khris Davis

48

Oakland A's

+4000

2017

Giancarlo Stanton

59

Miami Marlins

+750

2016

Mark Trumbo

47

Baltimore Orioles

+5000

2015

Chris Davis

47

Baltimore Orioles

+1800

2014

Nelson Cruz

40

Baltimore Orioles

+3500


2025 MLB Strikeout Leader Odds

The caliber of stuff that MLB pitchers have has never been better, so in turn, guys can rack up strikeouts at an impressive pace. Between veterans like Chris Sale and Zack Wheeler or young phenoms like Paul Skenes and Tarik Skubal, the 2025 strikeout leader race is going to be a highly contested one. While Skenes opened as the favorite for this market, there are quite a few premier arms that have jumped over him on the odds board, and down below, we'll break down the best prices for all the flamethrowers across the league.

2025 MLB Strikeout Leader - Current Best Odds

Player

Opening odds

Current Best Odds

Tarik Skubal

+900

+115 (Caesars)

Zack Wheeler

+2500

+350 (Caesars)

MacKenzie Gore

+8000

+140 (Caesars)

Garrett Crochet

+1000

+450 (Caesars)

Carlos Rodon

+6600

+450 (Caesars)

Chris Sale

+2800

+600 (Caesars)

Paul Skenes

+600

+1800 (Caesars)

Hunter Brown

+5000

+2500 (Caesars)

Logan Webb

+10,000

+2200 (Caesars)

Dylan Cease

+1600

+2800 (Caesars)

Jesus Luzardo

+12,500

+2800 (Caesars)

*Odds as of May 30, 2025

2025 MLB Strikeout Leader - Top 5 Contenders

Player

Caesars

Bet365

Tarik Skubal

+115

-

Zack Wheeler

+350

-

MacKenzie Gore

+140

-

Garrett Crochet

+450

-

Carlos Rodon

+450

-

*Odds as of May 30, 2025

Current Favorites

Tarik Skubal: Not only did Skubal lead the league in strikeouts last season, but he also took home his first Cy Young award. Skubal was always touted as a guy with solid stuff, but he put it all together last season, ranking in the 91st percentile in strikeout rate and 90th percentile in whiff rate on BaseballSavant. Following his 13-strikeout complete game shutout, the hard-throwing lefty is up to 92 punchouts in 68.2 innings.

Zack Wheeler: Philadelphia Phillies fans have been able to watch Zack Wheeler go out and dominate every five days over the past few seasons. After a phenomenal 2024 that saw the veteran righty punch out 224 hitters in 200 innings, Wheeler has started the 2025 campaign by racking up 94 strikeouts in 76 innings. With those numbers, Wheeler is currently in the 92nd percentile in strikeout rate and 77th percentile in whiff rate.

MacKenzie Gore: In his first few seasons in the Big Leagues, MacKenzie Gore has shown flashes of immense potential, but so far this season, he has put it all together. Following a stellar outing against the Mariners, the young left-hander became the first pitcher to reach 100 strikeouts as he is up to 101 punchouts in 68.1 innings of work.

Season

Player

Strikeouts

Team

Opening Odds

2024

Tarik Skubal

228

Detroit Tigers

+3500

2023

Spencer Strider

281

Atlanta Braves

+900

2022

Gerrit Cole

257

New York Yankees

+475

2021

Robbie Ray

248

Toronto Blue Jays

+2500

2020

Shane Bieber

122

Cleveland Guardians

+1500

2019

Gerrit Cole

326

Houston Astros

+300

2018

Max Scherzer

300

Washington Nationals

+400

2017

Chris Sale

308

Boston Red Sox

+1000

2016

Max Scherzer

284

Washington Nationals

+550

2015

Clayton Kershaw

301

Los Angeles Dodgers

+500

2014

David Price

271

Detroit Tigers

+450

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Editor: Anthony Vlahovic

A former professional baseball player who has had his finger on the pulse of sports betting since 2016.

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