mlb-stat-leaders-odds

Melissa Tamez/Icon Sportswire

Author: Anthony Vlahovic

Last Updated: 15 January, 2025

2025 MLB Stat Leader Odds | Home Runs & Strikeouts

Home runs are a big part of what drives people to baseball, and there are certainly quite a few guys in the MLB who know a lot about them.

Aaron Judge led the league in 2024 for the second time in three years, and he unsurprisingly opened as the favorite to lead the league again in 2025. However, for as good as Judge has been, there should be another entertaining home run race in 2025, with the number of power hitters across the league. Down below, we’ll look at home run leader odds for the 2025 season across all the top sportsbooks in Maryland.

2025 MLB Home Run Leader Odds

Player

Opening odds

Caesars

DraftKings

Bet365

BetMGM

Aaron Judge

+400

+400

+450

+400

+300

Shohei Ohtani

+700

+700

+650

+700

+700

Kyle Schwarber

+1200

+1200

+1000

+1200

+1200

Fernando Tatis Jr.

+1500

+1500

+1600

+1600

+1000

Pete Alonso

+1800

+1800

+1900

+1800

+1600

Yordan Alvarez

+2500

+2500

+2200

+2500

+2000

Anthony Santander

+2800

+2800

+2800

+2800

+2500

Juan Soto

+2800

+2800

+2800

+2800

+2500

Brent Rooker

+3000

+3000

+3000

+3000

+2200

Kyle Tucker

+3000

+3000

+3000

+3000

+3500

Gunnar Henderson

+3000

+3000

+3000

+3000

+1800

*odds as of January 15, 2025

Current Favorites

Aaron Judge: A slow start to the season and a lull at the end caused Judge to miss out on breaking his own record, but his 58 long balls were still enough to lead the MLB in 2024. While the Yankees lineup will look different this season with guys like Cody Bellinger hitting behind Judge instead of Juan Soto, the Yankees captain should still come out looking highly motivated after the World Series loss. Of course, motivation aside, it also helps that Judge was in the 100th percentile in barrel percentage and hard-hit percentage last season, per Baseball Savant.

Shohei Ohtani: For a stretch of last season, it seemed as if Judge would easily win the home run title, but an otherworldly back half of the season from Ohtani made the race far closer. The NL MVP finished the regular season with 54 home runs, eight more than his previous career high. While it's crazy to say that Ohtani seems like he could be getting even better as time goes on, that was the case in 2024 and certainly could be in 2025 as well.

Kyle Schwarber: Opposing pitchers need to be extra cautious when facing the Phillies lineup, and Schwarber is a big reason for that. The veteran may not have the typical leadoff hitter build, but he does his job at the top of the lineup. In 2024, Schwarber finished 8th in home runs with 38, which was the first time in his Phillies career he didn't break the 45 home run marker.

Past Leaders

Season

Player

Home Runs

Team

2024

Aaron Judge

58

New York Yankees

2023

Matt Olson

54

Atlanta Braves

2022

Aaron Judge

62

New York Yankees

2021

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Salvador Perez

48

Toronto Blue Jays and Kansas City Royals

2020

Luke Voit

22

New York Yankees

2019

Pete Alonso

53

New York Mets

2018

Khris Davis

48

Oakland A's

2017

Giancarlo Stanton

59

Miami Marlins

2016

Mark Trumbo

47

Baltimore Orioles

2015

Chris Davis

47

Baltimore Orioles

2014

Nelson Cruz

40

Baltimore Orioles


2025 MLB Strikeout Leader Odds

The caliber of stuff that MLB pitchers have has never been better, so in turn, guys can rack up strikeouts at an impressive pace. Between veterans like Chris Sale and Gerrit Cole or young phenoms like Paul Skenes and Tarik Skubal, the 2025 strikeout leader race is going to be a highly contested one. While Skenes has opened as the favorite for this market, there are quite a few premier arms that are worth a look for futures bettors, and down below, we'll break down the best prices for all the flamethrowers across the league.

Player

Opening odds

Bet365

DraftKings

BetMGM

Caesars

Paul Skenes

+600

+600

+600

+400

+700

Tarik Skubal

+900

+900

+950

+700

+1100

Garrett Crochet

+1000

+1000

+1100

+550

+700

Blake Snell

+1600

+1600

+1700

+800

+1800

Dylan Cease

+1600

+1600

+1700

+1800

+1800

Gerrit Cole

+2200

+2200

+2500

+3500

+2500

Hunter Greene

+2200

+2200

+2200

+2000

+2200

Cole Ragans

+2500

+2500

+2800

+3000

+2500

Logan Gilbert

+2500

+2500

+2800

+3500

+2500

Zack Wheeler

+2500

+2500

+2800

+3000

+2500

Chris Sale

+2800

+2800

+2500

+3000

+2500

Corbin Burnes

+3300

+3300

+4000

+3500

+3500

*odds as of January 15, 2025

Current Favorites

Paul Skenes: It did not take long for Paul Skenes to reach the Majors, and it not did take long for him to dominant either. In 133 innings, Skenes racked up 170 strikeouts on the way to a 1.96 ERA. Skenes' ability to overpower hitters while also mixing in elite breaking stuff led to an 11.9 SO9 ratio, which was higher than Cy Young winners, Chris Sale and Tarik Skubal. With a full season in the Majors ahead of him, it is no surprise to see him favored to lead the league in punchouts.

Tarik Skubal: Not only did Skubal lead the league in strikeouts last season, but he also took home his first Cy Young award. Skubal was always touted as a guy with solid stuff, but he put it all together last season, ranking in the 91st percentile in strikeout rate and 90th percentile in whiff rate on BaseballSavant. As long as he can stay healthy, there is no reason as to why Skubal can't be near the top of the strikeout leaderboard again in 2025.

Garrett Crochet: The White Sox put together one of the worst seasons many baseball fans had ever seen, but the lone bright spot was Garrett Crochet. While some injuries would lead to him throwing just 146 innings, the hard-throwing lefty still racked up 209 strikeouts in his first full season as a starter. Entering the 2025 season, Crochet will be leading the Boston Red Sox rotation, and while it has the potential to be his true breakout year, his ability to stay healthy remains the biggest question.

Season

Player

Strikeouts

Team

2024

Tarik Skubal

228

Detroit Tigers

2023

Spencer Strider

281

Atlanta Braves

2022

Gerrit Cole

257

New York Yankees

2021

Robbie Ray

248

Toronto Blue Jays

2020

Shane Bieber

122

Cleveland Guardians

2019

Gerrit Cole

326

Houston Astros

2018

Max Scherzer

300

Washington Nationals

2017

Chris Sale

308

Boston Red Sox

2016

Max Scherzer

284

Washington Nationals

2015

Clayton Kershaw

301

Los Angeles Dodgers

2014

David Price

271

Detroit Tigers

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Editor: Anthony Vlahovic

A former professional baseball player who has had his finger on the pulse of sports betting since 2016.

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