MLB ROY Award

Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire

Author: Anthony Vlahovic

Last Updated: 29 May, 2025

2025 MLB Rookie of the Year Odds

Watching homegrown prospects rise through the minor league ranks and become stars is one of professional baseball's most rewarding and exciting aspects. With youth talent at a premium these days, more and more young stars join the league yearly, but only two can win Rookie of the Year Honors.

The 2024 Rookie of the Year race was one to remember, with both leagues coming down to the wire. Ultimately, Luis Gil of the Yankees and Paul Skenes of the Pirates were the recipients of the awards. For the 2025 season, the race has remained wide open in the National League, while Jacob Wilson has taken firm control as the favorite in the AL.

Here, we'll look at the ever-changing Rookie of the Year odds for both leagues on all the premier betting apps.

2025 American League Rookie of the Year - Best Odds

Player

Opening Odds

Current Best Odds

Jacob Wilson

+700

-230 (DraftKings)

Jasson Dominguez

+600

+1300 (FanDuel)

Will Warren

+1000

+2500 (FanDuel)

Kristian Campbell

+1100

+3500 (FanDuel)

Shane Smith

N/A

+3500 (FanDuel)

Nick Kurtz

+6600

+3500 (FanDuel)

Cam Smith

+500

+5000 (DraftKings)

Marcelo Mayer

+3000

+3500 (FanDuel)

Jac Caglianone

+7000

+3500 (FanDuel)

Jackson Jobe

+800

+5500 (FanDuel)

Jack Leiter

+3500

+5500 (FanDuel)

Tomoyuki Sogano

+2000

+8000 (FanDuel)

Chandler Simpson

+4000

+10,000 (FanDuel)

Trey Sweeney

+5000

+10,000 (FanDuel)

Roman Anthony

+700

+5500 (FanDuel)

Coby Mayo

+3500

+15,000 (FanDuel)

Chase Meidroth

N/A

+10,000 (DraftKings*)

*Odds as of May 29, 2025

* = the same odds are offered by multiple sportsbooks.

2025 AL Rookie of the Year Odds Comparison - Top 10 Contenders

Player

BetMGM

FanDuel

DraftKings

Jacob Wilson

-350

-340

-230

Jasson Dominguez

+900

+1300

+500

Will Warren

+1200

+2500

+1300

Nick Kurtz

+2200

+3500

+2500

Kristian Campbell

+2500

+3500

+2000

Shane Smith

+2500

+3500

+1800

Cam Smith

+3000

+2500

+5000

Marcelo Mayer

+3000

+3500

+2200

Jack Caglianone

+3000

+3500

+3000

Jackson Jobe

+3500

+5500

+4000

*Odds as of May 29, 2025

Current Favorites

Jacob Wilson (Athletics): The A's 2023 first-round draft pick made his debut with the team last season and was able to break camp with the team to start this season. Wilson showed some promising signs in the minors last season, and to start the year, he's swung the bat at an exceptionally high level, hitting .353 with a .908 OPS, 161 wRC+, and only 12 strikeouts in 223 plate appearances.

Jasson Dominguez (NY Yankees): After reaching the World Series in 2024, the Yankees entered this season with one less superstar. This puts a lot of pressure on their #1 prospect, Jasson Dominguez, who broke into the league briefly in 2023 before needing surgery. In eight games in 2023, the man they call The Martian hit .258 with four home runs and a .980 OPS. While he would struggle in his brief return in 2024, Dominguez has a clean slate entering this season, and so far, he is hitting .239 with a .752 OPS and 116 wRC+. The young outfielder may not have come out of the gates on fire, but he has been getting more consistent in May, including a three-home-run game against the A's.

Will Warren (NY Yankees): Being thrown into the fire as a rookie starter is one thing, but being thrown into it in the Bronx is another level. Will Warren came into the season with elite strikeout stuff, and after his most recent seven-strikeout game against the Rockies, he has now racked up five or more strikeouts in nine of his 11 starts, giving him 67 punchouts in 50.2 innings. Warren has also allowed just five earned runs over his last four starts, which has him pitching to a 2.69 FIP and 2.85 xFIP.

2025 National League Rookie of the Year - Best Odds

Player

Opening Odds

Current Best Odds

AJ Smith-Shawver

+1600

+550 (FanDuel)

Drake Baldwin

+2000

+300 (FanDuel)

Agustin Ramirez

+5000

+600 (DraftKings)

Matt Shaw

+1100

+1200 (DraftKings)

Logan Henderson

N/A

+1300 (FanDuel)

Lusiangel Acuna

+4000

+3000 (FanDuel)

Dylan Crews

+350

+2500 (BetMGM*)

Bubba Chandler

+1100

+2500 (FanDuel)

Dalton Rushing

+5000

+3000 (FanDuel)

Hye-Seong Kim

+5000

+3000 (FanDuel)

Jordan Lawler

+1800

+3000 (FanDuel)

Chad Patrick

N/A

+2000 (DraftKings)

Cade Horton

+8000

+3000 (FanDuel)

Roki Sasaki

+225

+4000 (BetMGM*)

Ben Casparius

N/A

+3000 (FanDuel)

Andrew Painter

+1400

+5000 (FanDuel)

Caleb Durbin

+6600

+6000 (FanDuel)

Eric Wagaman

N/A

+6600 (BetMGM)

Chase Dollander

+5000

+20,000 (FanDuel)

*Odds as of May 29, 2025

* = the same odds are offered by multiple sportsbooks.

2025 NL Rookie of the Year Odds Comparison - Top 10 Contenders

Player

BetMGM

FanDuel

DraftKings

Drake Baldwin

+250

+300

+280

AJ Smith-Shawver

+450

+550

+400

Agustin Ramirez

+550

+550

+600

Logan Henderson

+1000

+1300

+1000

Matt Shaw

+1000

+1100

+1200

Chad Patrick

+1400

+1300

+2000

Hye-Seong Kim

+1800

+3000

+1800

Luisangel Acuna

+1800

+3000

+1800

Bubba Chandler

+2000

+2500

+2000

Dalton Rushing

+2200

+3000

+2500

*Odds as of May 29, 2025

Current Favorites

Drake Baldwin (ATL Braves): If it weren't for an injury to Sean Murphy before the season, Drake Baldwin would likely still be in the minor leagues. Baldwin has not only taken the opportunity to be the Braves' everyday catcher and run with it, but he has also been one of the best hitters in baseball during May. By hitting .435 so far in May, Baldwin is hitting .337 on the season with a .912 OPS and 154 wRC+.

AJ Smith-Shawver (ATL Braves): With their injury woes over the past two seasons, the Atlanta Braves desperately needed one of their young arms to step up, and so far, Smith-Shawver has more than answered that call. Coming off a rough outing against the Nationals, the young right-hander is still boasting a 3.67 ERA and 3.55 FIP in 41.2 innings of work.

Agustin Ramirez (MIA Marlins): It's nearly impossible to start an MLB career better than Agustin Ramirez did at the plate. Since being called up and going 7-12 to begin his career, Ramirez is hitting .262 with an .843 OPS and seven home runs in 132 plate appearances. While there is no way to go but down after hitting over .500 in your first week in the big leagues, Ramirez has proven on numerous occasions that his swing and power can play at the Big League level.

Past Rookie of the Year Winners

AL Winners

Season

Player

Team

Opening odds

2024

Luis Gil

New York Yankees

+6000

2023

Gunnar Henderson

Baltimore Orioles

+250

2022

Julio Rodriguez

Seattle Mariners

+400

2021

Randy Arozarena

Tampa Bay Rays

+350

2020

Kyle Lewis

Seattle Mariners

N/A

2019

Yordan Alvarez

Houston Astros

+20000

NL Winners

Season

Player

Team

Opening odds

2024

Paul Skenes

Pittsburgh Pirates

+3000

2023

Corbin Carroll

Arizona Diamondbacks

+400

2022

Michael Harris

Atlanta Braves

N/A

2021

Jonathan India

Cincinnati Reds

N/A

2020

Devin Williams

Milwaukee Brewers

N/A

2019

Pete Alonso

New York Mets

+600

MLB Rookie of the Year History and Trends

  • Only three pitchers have won the award in the AL since 2013, and one of them was Shohei Ohtani, who won as a two-way player.

  • The last starting pitcher to win the award in the National League prior to Paul Skenes in 2024 was Jacob deGrom in 2014.

  • The last four winners in the American League have played on a team that made the playoffs that season.

  • Before 2024, rookie pitchers had not won the award in both the AL and NL since 2011, when Jeremy Hellickson and Craig Kimbrel won it.

  • No American League team has had consecutive Rookie of the Year winners since the Oakland A's in 2004 (Bobby Crosby) and 2005 (Huston Street).

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vlaho
Editor: Anthony Vlahovic

A former professional baseball player who has had his finger on the pulse of sports betting since 2016.

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