Fred Kfoury III/Icon Sportswire
Author: Anthony Vlahovic
Last Updated: 13 May, 2025
Connor Bedard took home the Calder Trophy for the 2023-24 season, and as the season transitions into late March, the #1 pick in the most recent draft, Macklin Celebrini, sits as the current favorite to win the award this season. While guys like Celebrini have certainly been putting together strong rookie campaigns, Lane Hutson's recent play has solidified him as the true favorite.
Below, we'll keep NHL bettors up to date on all of the odds movement for the 2024-25 Calder Trophy so they can stay one step ahead of the game.
Player | Opening Odds | Current best odds |
---|---|---|
Lane Hutson | +1000 | -1500 (FanDuel) |
Macklin Celebrini | +500 | +800 (BetRivers) |
Matvei Michkov | +500 | +10,000 (DraftKings*) |
Dustin Wolf | +1000 | +25,000 (BetRivers) |
*Odds as of April 15, 2025
Player | |||
---|---|---|---|
Lane Hutson | -1600 | -2000 | -1500 |
Macklin Celebrini | +700 | +800 | +700 |
Matvei Michkov | +10,000 | +10,000 | +9000 |
Dustin Wolf | +7500 | +25,000 | +8500 |
*Odds as of April 15, 2025
Hutson led all rookies in assists with 60 and points with 66 on the year. While the defenseman has only found the back of the net six times this season, he was tied for 9th in the league in assists through 82 games. With such numbers, the 21-year-old didn't just surpass Chris Chelios for the most points by a rookie defenseman in Montreal Canadiens' franchise history but also tied for the most assists by a rookie defenceman in NHL history with Hall of Famer Larry Murphy.
While both Matvei Michkov (80 games, 26+37) and Macklin Celebrini (70 games, 25+38) delivered truly brilliant and Calder-worthy rookie seasons, Hutson's campaign still shines the brightest in this comparison. Therefore, it really isn't a surprise that all US sportsbooks favor Hutson in this market by quite a margin.
Season | Player (Position) | Team | Opening odds |
---|---|---|---|
2023-24 | Connor Bedard (C) | Chicago Blackhawks | -135 |
2022-23 | Matty Beniers (C) | Seattle Kraken | +400 |
2021-22 | Moritz Seider (D) | Detroit Red Wings | +1200 |
2020-21 | Kirill Kaprizov (LW) | Minnesota Wild | +400 |
2019-20 | Cale Makar (D) | Colorado Avalanche | +400 |
2018-19 | Elias Petterson (C) | Vancouver Canucks | +240 |
2017-18 | Matthew Barzal (C) | New York Islanders | +1800 |
2016-17 | Auston Matthews (C) | Toronto Maple Leafs | -130 |
2015-16 | Artemi Panarin (LW) | Chicago Blackhawks | +2200 |
2014-15 | Aaron Ekblad (D) | Florida Panthers | +700 |
Even though the Calder Trophy was first presented at the conclusion of the 1936–37 NHL season, the Rookie of the Year accolade has been given out annually ever since 1933. From there to now, only 13 rookie defencemen have been able to claim the ROTY honors.
When looking at between the pipes, the last time a goalie was able to win the award was back in 2009 when Steve Mason (Columbus Blue Jackets) took home the title. However, despite the 15 years of no-goalie Rookie of the Year winners, a total of 16 goaltenders have been able to win the accolade throughout the Calder Trophy's history.
The influx of talent into the NHL is at an all-time high, so betting on the Calder Trophy before and early in the season has never been more challenging. Sure, there are years when the opening favorite takes home the award, but more often than not, there are a handful of players who shuffle in and out of being favored all season.
With that said, the actual question becomes what stats separate the genuine contenders, and how can bettors use that knowledge in their handicapping process? There is no exact science to betting on the award, but by keying in on a few stats, bettors can make more informed decisions.
To start, a sneaky stat to look for is power-play time on ice per game. While this stat won’t show true production, it can show which rookies get the most opportunities to record points. Over the past five years, the Calder winner has been in the top five for rookies in this stat.
As far as scoring goes, trends have shown that points per game holds a lot of weight in voters' eyes for this award, as most Calder winners have either led all rookies in this stat or been within the top three. During the 2023-24 season, Connor Bedard led all rookies with .90 points per game, while the second closest rookie was Luke Hughes with .57 points per game.
Stats like goals and assists will always be at the forefront, as good numbers in one or both areas are a standard. However, bettors need to look past them to identify what the voters value.