2025 MLS Cup Winner Odds

Three years ago, Inter Miami was one of the worst teams in the MLS. However, by signing Messi, they changed the club's entire trajectory. After having success last season, but falling short, Inter Miami finished the job during the 2025 season by picking up a 3-1 win over the Vancouver Whitecaps in the 2025 MLS Cup Final.

With the 2025 MLS all wrapped up, we’ll update the 2026 odds for fans who enjoy betting on soccer once they are released.

2025 MLS Cup Closing Odds Comparison

Notes & Updates

• December 6, 2025: Inter Miami won the MLS Cup for the first time in franchise history, beating Vancouver 3-1.

• November 29, 2025: A 3-1 win by the Vancouver Whitecaps in the Western Conference Finals will send them to their first-ever MLS Cup Final, where they will play Inter Miami.

• November 29, 2025: As a result of a dominant 5-1 win over NYCFC, Inter Miami has advanced to the first MLS Cup Finals in club history.

• November 23, 2025: With a 1-0 win, NYCFC has eliminated the #1 seed Philadelphia Union, and they will now advance to the Eastern Conference Finals to play Inter Miami.

• November 22, 2025: By beating LAFC in penalty kicks, the Vancouver Whitecaps have advanced to the Western Conference Finals to play San Diego FC.

• November 10, 2025: The #2 & #3 seeds in both the Eastern and Western Conferences will meet in the quarter-finals, as Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati took two out of three, while Vancouver and LAFC swept their first round matchup.

• November 10, 2025: Despite both teams being taken to a third game, San Diego FC and Minnesota UTD will meet in the quarter-finals.

• November 10, 2025: By sweeping the Chicago Fire in the first round, the #1 seed Philadelphia Union will take on NYCFC in the quarter-finals.

2025 MLS Cup Winner - Inter Miami

With Lionel Messi on the team, there is always a chance. In their 34 regular-season matches this season, Inter Miami went 19-7-8 with a goal differential of (+26), which earned them 65 points, and the #3 seed in the Eastern Conference. With that, they played Nashville SC in the first round, and after splitting the first two matches, they came away with a 4-0 win in Game Three. After that, Inter Miami was dominant, winning both the conference semi-finals and finals by a combined score of 9-1, only to then beat the Vancouver Whitecaps 3-1 in the MLS Cup Finals.

Past MLS Cup Champions & Odds

When to Trust (or Fade) the Late Summer Surge

Bettors are in constant pursuit of the next edge, and when it comes to betting on the MLS Cup winner, futures bettors have long been trying to figure out whether late summer hot streaks can lead to postseason success. While the odds of a team trending down the stretch may change, the style of play in the playoffs also changes. 

Confidence is certainly needed to make deep postseason runs, but it’s only the tip of the iceberg for what is necessary for a title run. Factors such as playoff experience, tactical flexibility, and comfort in a knockout game should also hold a lot of weight in a bettor's handicapping process.

Summer surges can undoubtedly help a team secure a higher seed or home-field advantage. Still, it’s important to remember that it is not everything, and sometimes bettors can even find value by fading the surging yet inexperienced postseason team. A good example is the 2016 Seattle Sounders, who struggled mightily down the stretch but relied on their veterans to carry them through the postseason and into a championship.

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