nfl-divisional-winner-odds

Scott W. Grau/Icon Sportswire

Author: Anthony Vlahovic

Last Updated: 30 September, 2025

2025-26 NFL Divisional Winner Odds

Making the NFL playoffs through the Wild Card can be nerve-wracking, so every team’s first mission before making the Super Bowl is winning the division. The importance of home-field advantage cannot be understated, but trying to claim a divisional crown can be difficult, depending on which division a team plays in.

While some teams have dominated their division over the past few years, such as the Chiefs, there is potential to find significant value in this market. For example, the NFC West champs, the LA Rams, were (+400) to win the NFC West during the 2024-25 preseason, and they were even plus money entering week nine of the regular season.

The NFL regular season is officially three weeks down, and we will update the table below with prices from all the top sportsbooks available in the US.

All current odds listed below are as of September 30, 2025.

2025-2026 AFC South Winner

Current best odds:

  • Indianapolis Colts: +105 (FanDuel)

  • Jacksonville Jaguars: +130 (Caesars)

  • Houston Texans: +700 (BetMGM)

  • Tennessee Titans: +16,000 (DraftKings)

Complete AFC South odds comparison:

Team

DraftKings

BetMGM

FanDuel

Indianapolis Colts

+100

-105

+105

Jacksonville Jaguars

+125

+125

+125

Houston Texans

+650

+700

+650

Tennessee Titans

+16,000

+15,000

+10,000

AFC South winner opening odds:

  • Houston Texans: +100

  • Jacksonville Jaguars: +300

  • Indianapolis Colts: +320

  • Tennessee Titans: +900


2025-2026 AFC East Winner

Current best odds:

  • Buffalo Bills: -1600 (DraftKings)

  • New England Patriots: +1600 (Caesars)

  • Miami Dolphins: +10,000 (DraftKings, FD)

  • New York Jets: +25,000 (BetMGM)

Complete AFC East odds comparison:

Team

DraftKings

FanDuel

BetRivers

Buffalo Bills

-1600

-2000

-2500

New England Patriots

+1200

+1500

+1500

Miami Dolphins

+10,000

+10,000

+7500

New York Jets

+18,000

+10,000

+7500

AFC East winner opening odds:

  • Buffalo Bills: -250

  • Miami Dolphins: +750

  • New England Patriots: +475

  • New York Jets: +1100


2025-2026 AFC West Winner

Current best odds:

  • Los Angeles Chargers: +110 (FanDuel)

  • Kansas City Chiefs: +155 (DraftKings)

  • Denver Broncos: +540 (Caesars)

  • Las Vegas Raiders: +5500 (Caesars)

Complete AFC West odds comparison:

Team

DraftKings

Caesars

FanDuel

Los Angeles Chargers

+105

+105

+110

Kansas City Chiefs

+155

+140

+145

Denver Broncos

+450

+540

+470

Las Vegas Raiders

+5000

+5500

+4000

AFC West winner opening odds:

  • Kansas City Chiefs: -125

  • Los Angeles Chargers: +265

  • Denver Broncos: +400

  • Las Vegas Raiders: +1800


2025-2026 AFC North Winner

Current best odds:

  • Baltimore Ravens: -170 (FanDuel)

  • Pittsburgh Steelers: +225 (BetMGM, BetRivers, Caesars)

  • Cincinnati Bengals: +1500 (DraftKings)

  • Cleveland Browns: +2500 (BetMGM)

Complete AFC North odds comparison:

Team

DraftKings

BetMGM

FanDuel

Baltimore Ravens

-180

-175

-170

Pittsburgh Steelers

+200

+225

+220

Cincinnati Bengals

+1500

+1200

+1100

Cleveland Browns

+2200

+2500

+1800

AFC North winner opening odds:

  • Baltimore Ravens: -140

  • Cincinnati Bengals: +190

  • Pittsburgh Steelers: +700

  • Cleveland Browns: +3000


2025-2026 NFC West Winner

Current best odds:

  • Los Angeles Rams: +135 (Caesars)

  • San Francisco 49ers: +180 (BetRivers, DK)

  • Seattle Seahawks: +400 (FD, BetRivers, BetMGM)

  • Arizona Cardinals: +1900 (DraftKings)

Complete NFC West odds comparison:

Team

DraftKings

FanDuel

BetRivers

Los Angeles Rams

+115

+120

+120

San Francisco 49ers

+180

+170

+180

Seattle Seahawks

+370

+400

+400

Arizona Cardinals

+1900

+1300

+1400

NFC West winner opening odds:

  • San Francisco 49ers: -105

  • Los Angeles Rams: +210

  • Arizona Cardinals: +650

  • Seattle Seahawks: +800


2025-2026 NFC East Winner

Current best odds:

  • Philadelphia Eagles: -330 (DraftKings)

  • Washington Commanders: +400 (FanDuel)

  • Dallas Cowboys: +2200 (DK)

  • New York Giants: +10,000 (FanDuel)

Complete NFC East odds comparison:

Team

DraftKings

FanDuel

BetMGM

Philadelphia Eagles

-330

-350

-350

Washington Commanders

+330

+400

+350

Dallas Cowboys

+2200

+1600

+1400

New York Giants

+8000

+10,000

+8000

NFC East winner opening odds:

  • Philadelphia Eagles: -150

  • Washington Commanders: +225

  • Dallas Cowboys: +600

  • New York Giants: +3000


2025-2026 NFC North Winner

Current best odds:

  • Green Bay Packers: +110 (FanDuel, DK)

  • Detroit Lions: +120 (FanDuel, BetRivers, BetMGM)

  • Minnesota Vikings: +1000 (BetRivers, FD)

  • Chicago Bears: +2500 (DK, Caesars)

Complete NFC North odds comparison:

Team

DraftKings

FanDuel

BetRivers

Green Bay Packers

+110

+110

+105

Detroit Lions

+110

+120

+120

Minnesota Vikings

+950

+1000

+1000

Chicago Bears

+2500

+1600

+1500

NFC North winner opening odds:

  • Detroit Lions: +125

  • Green Bay Packers: +225

  • Minnesota Vikings: +450

  • Chicago Bears: +550


2025-2026 NFC South Winner

Current best odds:

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -250 (FanDuel)

  • Atlanta Falcons: +330 (DraftKings)

  • Carolina Panthers: +2500 (DraftKings)

  • New Orleans Saints: +5500 (Caesars)

Complete NFC South odds comparison:

Team

DraftKings

BetMGM

Caesars

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

-330

-325

-330

Atlanta Falcons

+330

+300

+310

Carolina Panthers

+2500

+2000

+2200

New Orleans Saints

+4000

+5000

+5500

NFC South winner opening odds:

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +115

  • Atlanta Falcons: +225

  • Carolina Panthers: +425

  • New Orleans Saints: +750

Notes and Updates

  • September 29, 2025: The Packers are now (+110) after their tie with Dallas, while the Lions are nipping at their heels at (+120).

  • September 29, 2025: With a 49ers loss and Rams win, Los Angeles is now favored to win the NFC West at (+120).

  • September 23, 2025: By blowing a late lead to the 49ers, the Arizona Cardinals now have the worst odds to win the NFC South, heading into their matchup with the Seahawks.

  • September 23, 2025: Following another late comeback win, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are now commanding favorites in the NFC South.

  • September 16, 2025: After a big odds shift following their Week One loss, the Detroit Lions are now back down to (+350) to win the NFC North.

  • September 16, 2025: With the Texans and Jaguars suffering losses in Week Two, the Indianapolis Colts are now favored to win the AFC South at (+140).

  • September 16, 2025: Joe Burrow has suffered a turf toe injury that will require surgery. Despite being 2-0, Cincinnati is (+800) to win the division.

  • September 9, 2025: The Houston Texans showed a lot of weaknesses in Week One, and they are now (+185) to win the division after opening at (+100).

Notable Division Trends

  • The Kansas City Chiefs have not lost the AFC West since 2015, meaning they've won it nine straight years, including the 2024 season.

  • The last time the Cleveland Browns won their division was 1989.

  • From 2009 to 2019, the New England Patriots won the AFC East. In total, they've won the division 17 times since 2000.

  • After not winning a division title since 1995, the Buffalo Bills have won the AFC East the past five seasons, including 2024.

  • Since the AFC South was started in 2002, the Indianapolis Colts hold the record with nine division titles. They are also the only team in the division's history to win an AFC Championship game and Super Bowl.

  • The New York Giants have not won the NFC East since 2011, the same year they won the Super Bowl.

  • Before 2023, the last time the Detroit Lions won the NFC North was 1993.

  • The Atlanta Falcons have the fewest NFC South titles with four.

2024-2025 Divisional Winners & Odds

Winner (Record)

Division

Opening odds

Week 9 odds

Los Angeles Rams (10-7)

NFC West

+400

+375

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-7)

NFC South

+230

+375

Detroit Lions (15-2)

NFC North

+150

-150

Philadelphia Eagles (14-3)

NFC East

+130

-120

Kansas City Chiefs (15-2)

AFC West

-200

-5000

Houston Texans (10-7)

AFC South

+175

-1200

Buffalo Bills (13-4)

AFC East

+130

-3000

Baltimore Ravens (12-5)

AFC North

+105

-190

2023-2024 Divisional Winners & Odds

Winner (Record)

Division

Opening odds

Week 9 odds

San Francisco 49ers (12-5)

NFC West

-160

-300

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8)

NFC South

+375

+450

Detroit Lions (12-5)

NFC North

+150

-2000

Dallas Cowboys (12-5)

NFC East

+175

+155

Kansas City Chiefs (11-6)

AFC West

-160

-750

Houston Texans (10-7)

AFC South

+850

+750

Buffalo Bills (11-6)

AFC East

+100

+200

Baltimore Ravens (13-4)

AFC North

+225

-135

2022-2023 Divisional Winners & Odds

Winner (Record)

Division

Opening odds

Week 9 odds

San Francisco 49ers (13-4)

NFC West

+230

-140

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-9)

NFC South

+140

-135

Minnesota Vikings (13-4)

NFC North

+300

-1000

Philadelphia Eagles (14-3)

NFC East

+300

-400

Kansas City Chiefs (14-3)

AFC West

-140

-600

Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8)

AFC South

+550

+600

Buffalo Bills (13-3)

AFC East

-185

-1000

Cincinnati Bengals (12-4)

AFC North

+200

+350

Tiebreaker Traps: How Division-Record Nuances Can Make or Break Your Bet

Handicapping the NFL division winner markets involves many factors. The most prominent factors include schedule difficulty, roster strength and depth, and quarterback play. While those are all important considerations, in tighter divisions, such as the NFC South, bettors often overlook tiebreaker procedures and how they can impact their bets. 

When two teams in the same division finish with the same record, a hierarchy of tiebreakers ensues. Knowing these tiebreakers can help give sharp bettors an edge. The first tiebreaker that ensues is the head-to-head record. If that is also a tie, the scenarios move into division record, common opponents, and then conference record. 

With that said, a team with a more manageable schedule that beats up on non-conference opponents may still lose a tiebreaker to a team that has the same record but beats more in-conference opponents. To analyze these scenarios before and during the season, sharp bettors can map out division and conference matchups for two different divisional teams and factor in which one may have a more significant edge if they split the season series and both end up with a 10-7 record.

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vlaho
Editor: Anthony Vlahovic

A former professional baseball player who has had his finger on the pulse of sports betting since 2016.

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