nfl-conference-winner-odds

Mark Goldman/Icon Sportswire

Author: Anthony Vlahovic

Last Updated: 03 December, 2025

2025-26 NFL Conference Winner Odds

Before reaching the Super Bowl, NFL teams must first win their respective conferences, allowing bettors to add more futures to their season-long portfolios. Placing wagers in this market can help bettors hedge their Super Bowl futures or add even more profit if they happen to place the right bets for both markets.

With the 2025-26 season entering Week 14, we’ll take a look at the odds of winning both the AFC and NFC across all legal sportsbooks in Louisiana.

2025-26 To Win the AFC - Best Odds Right Now

Team

Opening Odds

Current Best Odds

New England Patriots

+5000

+420 (Caesars)

Denver Broncos

+2000

+470 (FanDuel)

Buffalo Bills

+325

+480 (FanDuel)

Kansas City Chiefs

+300

+550 (FanDuel)

Baltimore Ravens

+325

+550 (FanDuel*)

Indianapolis Colts

+5000

+710 (FanDuel)

Houston Texans

+1600

+1300 (Caesars)

Jacksonville Jaguars

+5000

+1300 (Caesars*)

Los Angeles Chargers

+1400

+2000 (DraftKings)

Pittsburgh Steelers

+3300

+6500 (DraftKings)

Cincinnati Bengals

+1000

+6500 (DraftKings)

Miami Dolphins

+2500

+80,000 (DraftKings)

Cleveland Browns

+7500

+100,000 (Caesars)

New York Jets

+6000

+150,000 (Caesars)

Odds as of December 3, 2025

* = the same odds are offered by multiple sportsbooks.

2025-26 Odds to Win the AFC - Top10 Contenders

Team

DraftKings

FanDuel

Caesars

New England Patriots

+400

+410

+420

Buffalo Bills

+425

+480

+450

Denver Broncos

+450

+470

+450

Indianapolis Colts

+650

+710

+700

Baltimore Ravens

+850

+760

+750

Kansas City Chiefs

+950

+920

+800

Jacksonville Jaguars

+1100

+1300

+1300

Houston Texans

+1200

+1120

+1300

Los Angeles Chargers

+2000

+1200

+1800

Pittsburgh Steelers

+6500

+4500

+5500

Odds as of December 3, 2025

Current Favorites

New England Patriots: Ever since they beat the Bills early in the season, the New England Patriots have not looked back. With Drake Maye playing at an MVP-caliber level in just his second NFL season, the Patriots have found success a lot quicker than many expected, as their 11-2 record has them sitting in first place in the AFC East. Behind Maye on offense, the Patriots rank 12th in success rate, while new head coach Mike Vrabel has helped guide the defense to be ranked 7th in EPA per play, per RBSDM.

Buffalo Bills: The Bills have been all over the odds board this season. Every time it seems like they are garnering momentum, they suffer a surprising loss, and on the flip side, when it looks like they are trending down, Josh Allen saves the day and gets them back in the win column. The past four weeks have been a perfect example of that, as they have lost games to the Dolphins and Texans, only to turn around and beat the Buccaneers and Steelers. With their defense ranked 10th in success rate and Josh Allen leading the offense, the only thing missing is consistency.

Denver Broncos: In year two of the Bo Nix era, the Broncos look well on their way to ending the Chiefs' longstanding streak of winning the AFC West. After an overtime win over the Commanders, the Broncos have won nine straight games, giving them a 10-2 record. While Nix has been solid in his sophomore season, Denver's true calling card is their defense, which ranks 5th in EPA per play and 1st in success rate (RBSDM).

Previous AFC Winners & Odds

Season - AFC Winner

Opening odds

Week 9 odds

Playoffs odds

2024: Kansas City Chiefs

+400

+195

+150

2023: Kansas City Chiefs

+300

+240

+450

2022: Kansas City Chiefs

+400

+325

+165

2021: Cincinnati Bengals

+4000

+1800

+260

2020: Kansas City Chiefs

+250

+175

-105

2019: Kansas City Chiefs

+300

+700

+200

2018: New England Patriots

+250

+240

+160

2017: New England Patriots

+300

+170

-150

2016: New England Patriots

+350

-140

-200

2015: Denver Broncos

+350

+250

+200

2025-26 To Win the NFC - Current Best Odds

Team

Opening Odds

Current Best Odds

Los Angeles Rams

+1400

+250 (FanDuel)

Seattle Seahawks

+3000

+470 (FanDuel)

Philadelphia Eagles

+300

+500 (DraftKings*)

Green Bay Packers

+1100

+500 (FanDuel*)

San Francisco 49ers

+650

+1200 (DraftKings*)

Detroit Lions

+400

+1400 (DraftKings)

Chicago Bears

+2000

+1500 (Caesars*)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

+1600

+2000 (Caesars*)

Dallas Cowboys

+2500

+3000 (DraftKings)

Carolina Panthers

+7500

+11,000 (Caesars)

Minnesota Vikings

+2000

+80,000 (DraftKings*)

Washington Commanders

+850

+80,000 (DraftKings*)

Atlanta Falcons

+3000

+100,000 (Caesars)

Odds as of December 3, 2025

* = the same odds are offered by multiple sportsbooks.

2025-26 Odds to Win the NFC - Top10 Contenders

Team

DraftKings

FanDuel

Caesars

Los Angeles Rams

+235

+250

+240

Seattle Seahawks

+400

+470

+400

Green Bay Packers

+450

+500

+500

Philadelphia Eagles

+500

+470

+500

San Francisco 49ers

+1200

+1200

+1100

Detroit Lions

+1400

+1200

+1300

Chicago Bears

+1500

+1200

+1500

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

+2000

+1400

+2000

Dallas Cowboys

+3000

+1800

+2600

Carolina Panthers

+8000

+8000

+11,000

Odds as of December 3, 2025

Current Favorites

Los Angeles Rams: Aside from three losses by one possession, the LA Rams have played at a nearly flawless level. With Matthew Stafford continuing to play at an MVP-caliber pace and their defense ranking second in the league in EPA per play, the Rams have asserted their dominance on both sides of the ball. Even after a loss to the Panthers, the Rams still hold first place in the NFC West and the second-best point differential in the league (+124).

Seattle Seahawks: The Seahawks have been a competitive team over the past few seasons, and especially since Mike Macdonald took over. However, their ceiling, especially on offense, has been raised by having Sam Darnold under center. With Darnold proving last season in Minnesota was not a fluke, and the Seahawks' defense ranking 4th in success rate, Seattle has the best point differential in the league (+133) to go with their 9-3 record.

Philadelphia Eagles: For the second time since 2018, the Philadelphia Eagles were able to hoist the Lombardi Trophy. Behind their otherworldly defense and offense led by Saquon Barkley, the Eagles entered this season as the team to beat in the NFC. The Eagles took care of business through the first four weeks, beating the Cowboys, Chiefs, Rams, and Buccaneers. However, despite those wins, there were reasonable concerns about their offensive production. Entering Week 14, those concerns have led to plenty of questions about why Kevin Patullo still has play-calling duties after the Eagles dropped their second straight game to the Bears.

Past NFC Winners & Odds

Season - NFC Winner

Opening odds

Week 9 odds

Postseason odds

2024: Philadelphia Eagles

+750

+700

+325

2023: San Francisco 49ers

+350

+250

-120

2022: Philadelphia Eagles

+1800

+200

+160

2021: Los Angeles Rams

+600

+325

+600

2020: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

+3000

+250

+450

2019: San Francisco 49ers

+2500

+300

-125

2018: Los Angeles Rams

+1200

-125

+250

2017: Philadelphia Eagles

+3000

+250

+450

2016: Atlanta Falcons

+2000

+800

+300

2015: Carolina Panthers

+1500

+450

+200


AFC number 1 seed betting odds - TOP5 favorites

Team

FanDuel

New England Patriots

-110

Denver Broncos

+130

Buffalo Bills

+1500

Jacksonville Jaguars

+1800

Indianapolis Colts

+2700

NFC number 1 seed odds - TOP5 favorites

Team

FanDuel

Los Angeles Rams

+145

Seattle Seahawks

+320

Chicago Bears

+600

Green Bay Packers

+600

San Francisco 49ers

+900

Using DVOA and EPA to Time Conference Futures Bets

What a bettor values and analyzes for their futures bets is the difference between a quality winning bet and a losing bet. Sure, injuries and roster construction hold weight, but advanced metrics can often get overlooked by casual bettors, which causes them to miss out on value and hidden contenders that the market is overlooking. 

Two key advanced metrics that sharp bettors like to examine are EPA (Expected Points Added) and DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average). Since DVOA looks at how a team performs in comparison to the league average and adjusts for opponent strength, teams with average records at the start of the year that have a top-10 DVOA could be a team to look out for come the playoffs. 

One of the most important things that these stats offer is context, as they go beyond the box score to show efficiency on both sides of the ball. The 2024 season provided a strong indication of the value these statistics can bring. Through the first eight weeks of the season, the Washington Commanders' offense led the league in EPA per play, yet in Week 8, they were still (+1400) to win the NFC. 

While they didn’t win the NFC, they still provided sharp bettors who took advantage of the market not adjusting to a valuable hedging opportunity.

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Editor: Anthony Vlahovic

A former professional baseball player who has had his finger on the pulse of sports betting since 2016.

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