Fred Kfoury III/Icon Sportswire
Author: Anthony Vlahovic
Last Updated: 25 November, 2025
The 2024-25 NCAA Tournament was a battle of the powerhouses, as all four #1 seeds reached the Final Four. With late leads being choked away and momentum changing left and right, the final three games of the tournament lived up to the madness and also saw the Florida Gators become National Champions.
While the Gators hoisted the trophy, oddsmakers set their sights back on Duke, opening them as the favorite to win the 2025-26 National Championship behind what is expected to be another elite recruiting class.
Team | Opening Odds | Current Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
Purdue | +1900 | +950 (DraftKings) |
Houston | +900 | +1000 (Caesars*) |
Duke | +1000 | +1400 (DraftKings*) |
UConn | +1400 | +1400 (FanDuel*) |
Kentucky | +2000 | +1600 (Caesars) |
Florida | +1900 | +1700 (FanDuel) |
St. John's | +2500 | +2000 (FanDuel) |
Michigan | +2500 | +2000 (FanDuel) |
BYU | +2000 | +2000 (FanDuel) |
Texas Tech | +2500 | +2500 (BetMGM*) |
Arkansas | +2000 | +2700 (FanDuel) |
Kansas | +2000 | +3000 (Caesars) |
Illinois | +6000 | +3000 (DraftKings*) |
Arizona | +4000 | +3500 (FanDuel) |
UCLA | +4000 | +3500 (DraftKings) |
Alabama | +2000 | +3500 (BetMGM*) |
Tennessee | +2500 | +4000 (BetMGM) |
Gonzaga | +3000 | +4500 (DraftKings) |
Iowa State | +3000 | +5000 (DraftKings) |
Michigan State | +3000 | +5500 (DraftKings) |
Auburn | +1800 | +6000 (DraftKings) |
North Carolina | +4000 | +6000 (DraftKings) |
NC State | +12,500 | +6000 (Caesars*) |
Creighton | +6000 | +7000 (Caesars) |
Wisconsin | +6000 | +7500 (Caesars) |
Baylor | +4000 | +10,000 (Caesars) |
Odds as of October 30, 2025
* = the same odds are offered by multiple sportsbooks.
Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purdue | +900 | +750 | +750 | +950 |
Houston | +1000 | +900 | +1000 | +950 |
Duke | +1100 | +1300 | +1400 | +1400 |
UConn | +1400 | +1400 | +950 | +1300 |
Kentucky | +1400 | +1300 | +1600 | +1300 |
Florida | +1700 | +1400 | +1400 | +1600 |
Michigan | +2000 | +1600 | +1600 | +1500 |
St. John's | +2000 | +1600 | +1600 | +1900 |
Louisville | +2000 | +2500 | +2000 | +2200 |
Illinois | +2000 | +2500 | +3000 | +3000 |
Texas Tech | +2000 | +2500 | +2000 | +2500 |
BYU | +2000 | +1800 | +1600 | +1800 |
Odds as of October 30, 2025
Purdue Boilermakers: The Purdue Boilermakers have consistently knocked on the door of a National Championship, but that door has yet to open for them. Entering the 2025-26 season, the Boilermakers once again have a loaded roster with elite returners such as Braden Smith and Trey Kaufman-Renn, along with some high-end transfers and young talents like Oscar Cluff, Daniel Jacobsen, and Omer Mayer.
Houston Cougars: Over the past five seasons, the Houston Cougars have played in five Elite Eights and two National Championships, including last year's. With their defense-first system under Kelvin Sampson, the Cougars will once again be in the mix this season, especially with projected lottery pick Chris Cenac Jr. joining returning veterans such as Emmanuel Sharp and Milos Uzan.
Duke Blue Devils: With their recruiting prowess, the Duke Blue Devils don't rebuild; they reload. Duke fell short of greatness last season despite having Cooper Flagg, Kon Knueppel, Khaman Maluach, and a few other NBA-level players. This season, the Blue Devils have another strong freshman class led by the Boozer brothers and Dame Sarr. As far as returners, Duke will have sharp shooter Isiah Evans, along with big men Maliq Brown and Patrick Ngongba II.
Season | Team | Opening odds | R1 odds |
|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Florida Gators | +3000 | +325 |
2024 | UConn Huskies | +2000 | +350 |
2023 | UConn Huskies | +8000 | +1600 |
2022 | Kansas Jayhawks | +2000 | +900 |
2021 | Baylor Bears | +800 | +500 |
2020 | Cancelled Season | N/A | N/A |
2019 | Virginia Cavaliers | +1800 | +675 |
2018 | Villanova Wildcats | +1200 | +570 |
2017 | North Carolina Tar Heels | +2400 | +535 |
2016 | Villanova Wildcats | +2000 | +1500 |
2015 | Duke Blue Devils | +1000 | +1000 |
2014 | UConn Huskies | +7000 | +9500 |
The saying “Defense wins championships” is probably a bit overused. However, it always seems to ring true in college basketball. Scoring threats are always needed for a deep tournament run, but to cut down the nets at the end of the season, teams also need to be a top defensive unit in the country.
Placing futures on college basketball can be tricky, as there are over 350 teams, and even the top teams in the country can be upset come tournament time. With that in mind, bettors need a way to identify teams with value throughout the season. One of the best ways to achieve this is by examining defensive metrics.
By using resources such as KenPom, Bart Torvik, and Haslametrics, bettors can access a wide range of defensive metrics to inform their handicapping. Even with all those statistics, one metric that provides a glimpse into long-term success is the adjusted defensive efficiency rating.
Including the 2025 season, when Florida won the title, ten of the last eleven National Championship winners ranked in the top ten in adjusted defensive efficiency rating on Haslametrics. The only team in that group that did not rank inside the top ten was North Carolina in 2017, when they ranked 11th in the country in that metric.
The influx of talent into college basketball has only intensified over the past few years, but the 2025 season took that to an entirely new level. With guys like Cooper Flagg, Ace Bailey, Kasparus Jakucionis, and more joining the college game alongside some of the already-established stars, deciding who the best player in the country was no easy task. However, at the end of the day, that battle came down to Cooper Flagg and Johni Broome, with Flagg getting the best of the Auburn big man in the end.
Now, a new crop of highly touted freshmen will step onto the scene, and they'll compete for the best player in the country against returners such as Braden Smith and JT Toppin. Bettors who want to make that determination themselves can always bet on the John Wooden Award winner. Below, we will update bettors on all odds changes for the award to help them determine the best price for all the top contenders.
Player | Opening Odds | Current Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
Braden Smith | +500 | +500 (DraftKings) |
Darryn Peterson | +1100 | +1100 (DraftKings) |
Cameron Boozer | +1200 | +1200 (ESPN Bet*) |
AJ Dybantsa | +1200 | +1200 (FanDuel*) |
JT Toppin | +1000 | +1500 (FanDuel) |
Yaxel Lendeborg | +1000 | +1600 (ESPN Bet) |
Donovan Dent | +2500 | +3000 (FanDuel) |
Darrion Williams | +2000 | +3300 (ESPN Bet) |
Otega Oweh | +2500 | +3300 (ESPN Bet) |
Trey Kaufman-Renn | +2500 | +3300 (ESPN Bet) |
Bennett Stirtz | +4000 | +4000 (DraftKings) |
Emmanuel Sharp | +3000 | +4000 (ESPN Bet) |
Ja'Kobi Gillespie | +3000 | +4000 (ESPN Bet) |
Tahaad Pettiford | +3500 | +4000 (FanDuel*) |
Boogie Fland | +2500 | +5000 (FanDuel*) |
Bryce Hopkins | +3000 | +6500 (FanDuel) |
Odds as of September 26, 2025
*= odds available at multiple shops
Player | DraftKings | ESPN Bet | FanDuel |
|---|---|---|---|
Braden Smith | +500 | +450 | +400 |
JT Toppin | +1000 | +1400 | +1500 |
Yaxel Lendeborg | +1000 | +1600 | +1500 |
Darryn Peterson | +1100 | +1000 | +850 |
Cameron Boozer | +1200 | +1200 | +1100 |
AJ Dybantsa | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 |
Darrion Williams | +2000 | +3300 | +3000 |
Otega Oweh | +2500 | +3300 | +3000 |
Donovan Dent | +2500 | +2800 | +3000 |
Odds as of September 26, 2025
Braden Smith (Purdue): In his third season, Braden Smith operated the Purdue offense at an exceptionally high level. The point guard averaged 8.7 assists, which was the second most in the country, and also averaged a career-high 15.8 points per game while shooting 42.8% from the field. Smith now returns for his senior year to lead a Purdue team that has high expectations, and if he can continue to rack up the assists, while also growing as a scoring threat, he could certainly be in the conversation for this award all season.
JT Toppin (Texas Tech): After nearly averaging a double-double at New Mexico, Toppin went to Texas Tech last season and averaged 18.2 points and 9.4 rebounds per game for the Red Raiders. Toppin was in the top 25 in rebounds, and while also being a force on the defensive end, averaging 1.5 rebounds and .8 steals per game.
Yaxel Lendeborg (Michigan): Many thought Lendeborg would enter the NBA Draft, but instead, he transferred to play for Dustin May at the University of Michigan. Lenedeborg dominated the AAC at UAB, averaging 17.7 points and 11.4 rebounds, which was the 4th highest average in the country. Lendeborg was stellar on defense, averaging close to two blocks and steals per game, while also shooting 52.2% from the field and 35.7% from three.
Season - Winner | School | Opening odds | Jan. odds |
|---|---|---|---|
2025 - Cooper Flagg | Duke | +700 | +245 |
2024 - Zach Edey | Purdue | +175 | -305 |
2023 - Zach Edey | Purdue | +3500 | -130 |
2022 - Oscar Tshiebwe | Kentucky | +4000 | +1100 |
2021 - Luka Garza | Iowa | +250 | -500 |
2020 - Obi Toppin | Dayton | N/A | +190 |
2019 - Zion Williamson | Duke | N/A | N/A |
Women's college basketball has gained more notoriety over the years, largely thanks to Caitlin Clark. While she is now in the WNBA, there is still plenty of talent across the country to keep the sport in the public eye. Young stars like Juju Watkins and experienced veterans like Paige Bueckers headlined a strong talent pool in the 2024-25 season, and at the end of the day, it was Bueckers who led UConn to their 12th National Championship, putting a bow on her historic career.
Unsurprisingly, both UConn and South Carolina have opened as the favorites to win the 2025-26 National Championship, as their powerhouse status doesn't look to be going away anytime soon.
Team | Opening Odds | Current Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
UConn | +400 | +250 (Bet365) |
South Carolina | +400 | +280 (FanDuel) |
UCLA | +600 | +500 (ESPN Bet*) |
Texas | +600 | +900 (Bet365) |
LSU | +900 | +1000 (Bet365*) |
Notre Dame | +900 | +1800 (Bet365) |
USC | +900 | +2000 (ESPN Bet*) |
Duke | +2000 | +2800 (ESPN Bet) |
Tennessee | +2500 | +3300 (ESPN Bet*) |
Oklahoma | +4000 | +3300 (Bet365) |
TCU | +3000 | +4000 (FanDuel) |
Ole Miss | +6500 | +7500 (Bet365) |
NC State | +5000 | +8000 (ESPN Bet) |
North Carolina | +5000 | +10,000 (FanDuel*) |
Maryland | +7500 | +10,000 (Bet365) |
Kentucky | N/A | +10,000 (Bet365*) |
Odds as of October 30, 2025
* = the same odds are offered by multiple sportsbooks.
Team | FanDuel | ||
|---|---|---|---|
UConn | +240 | +240 | +250 |
South Carolina | +270 | +280 | +260 |
UCLA | +500 | +480 | +500 |
Texas | +800 | +850 | +900 |
LSU | +1000 | +1000 | +1000 |
Notre Dame | +1600 | +2500 | +1800 |
USC | +2000 | +2000 | +1200 |
Duke | +2800 | +2500 | +2200 |
Oklahoma | +2800 | +2500 | +3300 |
TCU | +3300 | +4000 | +3500 |
Odds as of October 30, 2025
Season | Winner | Opening odds | Runner-Up |
|---|---|---|---|
2025 | UConn | +450 | South Carolina |
2024 | South Carolina | +1300 | Iowa |
2023 | LSU | +5000 | Iowa |
2022 | South Carolina | +20000 | UConn |
2021 | Stanford | +50000 | Arizona |
2020 | Season Cancelled | N/A | - |
2019 | Baylor | +12500 | Notre Dame |
2018 | Notre Dame | +6000 | Mississippi State |
2017 | South Carolina | +25000 | Mississippi State |
2016 | UConn | +4500 | Syracuse |
2015 | UConn | +3500 | Notre Dame |
2014 | UConn | +6500 | Notre Dame |
Player | Opening Odds | Current Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
Sarah Strong | +175 | +100 (FanDuel) |
Hannah Hidalgo | +400 | +550 (FanDuel) |
Lauren Betts | +225 | +700 (FanDuel) |
Azzi Fudd | +1300 | +850 (FanDuel) |
Ta'Niya Latson | +550 | +1100 (FanDuel) |
Madison Booker | +1700 | +2500 (FanDuel) |
Season - Winner | School | Opening odds |
|---|---|---|
2025 - JuJu Watkins | USC | +250 |
2024 - Caitlin Clark | Iowa | +100 |
2023 - Caitlin Clark | Iowa | N/A |
2022 - Aliyah Boston | South Carolina | N/A |
2021 - Paige Bueckers | Connecticut | N/A |




